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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest — top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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Browse active Polymarket markets with smart money data

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MarketSmart MoneyPriceVolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
40%
1328yes1961no
22¢
155d left
$48.8M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS0d left
78%
1682yes469no
74¢
0d left
$31.0M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS0d left
38%
897yes1480no
26¢
0d left
$21.5M
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS832d left
49%
2798yes2950no
12¢
832d left
$17.5M
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Polymarket market icon
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS832d left
50%
2267yes2268no
20¢
832d left
$14.9M
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Polymarket market icon
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
POLITICS832d left
51%
3152yes2978no
43¢
832d left
$14.7M
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Polymarket market icon
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
POLITICS832d left
47%
1813yes2070no
14¢
832d left
$12.4M
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Polymarket market icon
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS832d left
51%
1215yes1187no
12¢
832d left
$11.4M
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Polymarket market icon
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
POLITICS832d left
50%
1621yes1616no
27¢
832d left
$10.0M
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Polymarket market icon
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
POLITICS67d left
59%
955yes654no
64¢
67d left
$7.7M
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Polymarket market icon
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
POLITICS67d left
52%
631yes576no
24¢
67d left
$7.7M
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
ECONOMICS155d left
50%
668yes660no
85¢
155d left
$6.5M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
56%
1368yes1060no
56¢
155d left
$6.1M
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? — Polymarket market icon
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
POLITICS63d left
54%
2571yes2189no
57¢
63d left
$6.0M
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
57%
553yes424no
80¢
155d left
$5.1M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
POLITICS97d left
64%
966yes543no
86¢
97d left
$4.9M
Fed rate hike in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Fed rate hike in 2026?
ECONOMICS133d left
45%
253yes308no
78¢
133d left
$4.8M
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO156d left
53%
359yes314no
55¢
156d left
$4.8M
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? — Polymarket market icon
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
CRYPTO3d left
46%
474yes552no
50¢
3d left
$4.8M
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — Polymarket market icon
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
SPORTS130d left
56%
444yes351no
75¢
130d left
$3.8M
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO156d left
47%
275yes310no
26¢
156d left
$3.7M
Iran leadership change by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran leadership change by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
47%
378yes426no
21¢
155d left
$3.5M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
GEOPOLITICS33d left
32%
139yes290no
13¢
33d left
$3.4M
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
OTHER156d left
67%
619yes307no
37¢
156d left
$2.8M
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO156d left
41%
202yes288no
14¢
156d left
$2.7M
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
48%
1100yes1171no
35¢
155d left
$2.6M
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO156d left
51%
199yes191no
34¢
156d left
$2.5M
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — Polymarket market icon
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SPORTS94d left
50%
285yes284no
46¢
94d left
$2.5M
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
48%
409yes443no
82¢
155d left
$2.5M
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? — Polymarket market icon
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
POLITICS53d left
42%
493yes680no
22¢
53d left
$2.3M
Will GameStop acquire eBay? — Polymarket market icon
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
OTHER155d left
28%
123yes313no
13¢
155d left
$2.3M
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
OTHER3d left
83%
1186yes238no
20¢
3d left
$2.2M
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
47%
429yes479no
34¢
155d left
$2.0M
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO156d left
53%
153yes136no
43¢
156d left
$1.9M
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? — Polymarket market icon
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
POLITICS275d left
48%
197yes217no
32¢
275d left
$1.7M
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
45%
192yes236no
52¢
155d left
$1.5M
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS156d left
64%
196yes108no
89¢
156d left
$1.5M
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — Polymarket market icon
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SPORTS94d left
46%
228yes264no
25¢
94d left
$1.4M
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO156d left
43%
135yes182no
18¢
156d left
$1.4M
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 31?
GEOPOLITICS3d left
49%
157yes165no
55¢
3d left
$1.3M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS49d left
43%
71yes95no
56¢
49d left
$1.1M
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
SPORTS130d left
57%
257yes195no
84¢
130d left
$1.0M
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
POLITICS158d left
43%
100yes135no
32¢
158d left
$948K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS49d left
55%
129yes106no
35¢
49d left
$942K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
34%
116yes223no
28¢
155d left
$871K
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
CRYPTO3d left
31%
86yes191no
17¢
3d left
$864K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS64d left
48%
109yes119no
33¢
64d left
$814K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS94d left
44%
350yes439no
17¢
94d left
$807K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? — Polymarket market icon
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
SPORTS337d left
43%
53yes69no
14¢
337d left
$801K
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
GEOPOLITICS23d left
51%
165yes156no
61¢
23d left
$787K
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
GEOPOLITICS34d left
51%
119yes116no
30¢
34d left
$761K
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
CRYPTO3d left
50%
81yes80no
67¢
3d left
$757K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
GEOPOLITICS63d left
37%
71yes121no
27¢
63d left
$744K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS3d left
30%
88yes207no
14¢
3d left
$709K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS64d left
44%
51yes64no
16¢
64d left
$699K
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
ECONOMICS133d left
38%
60yes97no
26¢
133d left
$697K
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
SPORTS130d left
43%
137yes179no
11¢
130d left
$696K
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
OTHER3d left
43%
139yes188no
79¢
3d left
$674K
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — Polymarket market icon
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SPORTS94d left
72%
130yes51no
11¢
94d left
$604K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
ECONOMICS155d left
30%
50yes118no
13¢
155d left
$595K
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 31?
GEOPOLITICS34d left
51%
89yes87no
71¢
34d left
$590K
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
ECONOMICS133d left
46%
49yes58no
70¢
133d left
$497K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
GEOPOLITICS34d left
66%
98yes51no
60¢
34d left
$483K
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? — Polymarket market icon
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
POLITICS6d left
48%
148yes163no
72¢
6d left
$481K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — Polymarket market icon
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
SPORTS306d left
28%
19yes50no
30¢
306d left
$474K
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
ECONOMICS0d left
53%
73yes66no
73¢
0d left
$452K
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
CRYPTO3d left
41%
56yes82no
25¢
3d left
$448K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? — Polymarket market icon
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
SPORTS337d left
63%
70yes41no
20¢
337d left
$434K
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? — Polymarket market icon
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
POLITICS6d left
39%
99yes153no
30¢
6d left
$344K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
GEOPOLITICS18d left
57%
81yes61no
74¢
18d left
$322K
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds — Polymarket market icon
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
SPORTS6d left
31%
19yes42no
42¢
6d left
$306K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
ECONOMICS3d left
33%
32yes64no
21¢
3d left
$303K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
27%
63yes169no
22¢
155d left
$298K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS34d left
56%
73yes58no
54¢
34d left
$296K
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 14? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 14?
GEOPOLITICS17d left
52%
98yes91no
64¢
17d left
$278K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
ECONOMICS49d left
47%
35yes40no
70¢
49d left
$264K
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Polymarket market icon
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
POLITICS16d left
43%
60yes79no
79¢
16d left
$263K
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
OTHER0d left
42%
61yes85no
47¢
0d left
$258K
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
ECONOMICS49d left
35%
29yes54no
31¢
49d left
$255K
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier — Polymarket market icon
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
SPORTS0d left
9%
1yes10no
37¢
0d left
$251K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
ECONOMICS92d left
44%
31yes39no
74¢
92d left
$250K
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? — Polymarket market icon
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
POLITICS13d left
60%
108yes72no
74¢
13d left
$234K
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng — Polymarket market icon
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng
SPORTS6d left
67%
32yes16no
44¢
6d left
$207K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS18d left
40%
55yes83no
35¢
18d left
$194K
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? — Polymarket market icon
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
SPORTS306d left
53%
29yes26no
13¢
306d left
$190K
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
GEOPOLITICS2d left
75%
238yes80no
86¢
2d left
$187K
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
GEOPOLITICS2d left
39%
55yes86no
13¢
2d left
$175K
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
OTHER0d left
45%
64yes77no
47¢
0d left
$171K
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet — Polymarket market icon
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet
OTHER6d left
77%
49yes15no
77¢
6d left
$171K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS155d left
41%
32yes47no
24¢
155d left
$167K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — Polymarket market icon
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
SPORTS306d left
44%
30yes38no
37¢
306d left
$165K
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? — Polymarket market icon
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
GEOPOLITICS17d left
32%
37yes80no
17¢
17d left
$158K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS34d left
52%
54yes49no
55¢
34d left
$140K
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
GEOPOLITICS63d left
40%
23yes35no
84¢
63d left
$133K
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? — Polymarket market icon
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
GEOPOLITICS18d left
27%
21yes58no
18¢
18d left
$129K
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group — Polymarket market icon
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
SPORTS0d left
64%
16yes9no
64¢
0d left
$103K
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
CRYPTO3d left
46%
22yes26no
43¢
3d left
$101K
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? — Polymarket market icon
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
OTHER5d left
39%
33yes51no
82¢
5d left
$92K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28? — Polymarket market icon
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?
CRYPTO0d left
54%
31yes26no
20¢
0d left
$90K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
GEOPOLITICS63d left
64%
27yes15no
84¢
63d left
$52K
Showing 100 of 9,381 matching markets

Explore Polymarket markets by category

Every active Polymarket market, indexed from the Polygon chain and grouped by category: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each market shows live volume and prices, and links to the wallets trading it, so a market view is always one click from the farmer-filtered leaderboard of who is actually positioned in it.

Questions and answers

What Polymarket markets does OrcaLayer track?

All of them — every active market is indexed from the chain within seconds, grouped by category (politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics, tech) with live volume and prices per market.

How do I explore Polymarket markets by category?

Use the category tabs on the markets page: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each category lists its active markets with volume and current prices, sortable and filterable.

How fresh is the data?

Trades stream from the Polygon chain with seconds of lag; prices refresh continuously. Nightly jobs rebuild the heavier aggregates.