EconomicsResolved
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$40.42M
90,529 trades
Smart Whales
2030
of 13,002 traders · 20 on both sides
Fed Decision in July?
4 MARKETS · $49.95M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting←
100¢−15¢$40.42M1745/305Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting←−15¢100¢
$40.42M1745/305
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
80¢−9¢$8.76M560/226Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−9¢80¢
$8.76M560/226
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1745 YESvs305 NO
85%15%
85% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 1504 YES vs 131 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$350 of $960.0K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $2.5K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $880.9K·NO $76.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$7.94M
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.14M(+14.3%)
Whales
1,745
F
foodenjoyer🥇hedged
Entry 72¢·1,005,707.2 shares·also $229.0K on NO
Invested
$726.8K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$278864
+$278864INV $726.8K · WR 60.2%
E
Erasmus.🥈hedged
Entry 73¢·767,550.9 shares·also $164.9K on NO
Invested
$564.1K
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$203494
+$203494INV $564.1K · WR 70.7%
U
Upright-Snug🥉hedged
Entry 89¢·633,489.9 shares·also $108.4K on NO
Invested
$563.4K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$70081
+$70081INV $563.4K · WR 80.1%
B
b2d0
Entry 91¢·478,369.6 shares
Invested
$436.8K
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$41578
+$41578INV $436.8K · WR 81.8%
C
cosmicxbt
Entry 85¢·451,388.6 shares
Invested
$385.1K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$66266
+$66266INV $385.1K · WR 69.7%
H
HH168
Entry 92¢·380,439.3 shares
Invested
$349.7K
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$30712
+$30712INV $349.7K · WR 86.9%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 79¢·257,790.8 shares
Invested
$203.1K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$54697
+$54697INV $203.1K · WR 56.0%
W
wokerjoesleeperhedged
Entry 83¢·245,384.6 shares·also $45.6K on NO
Invested
$202.6K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$42795
+$42795INV $202.6K · WR 87.6%
S
schizohedgehog
Entry 87¢·232,410.1 shares
Invested
$201.2K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$31176
+$31176INV $201.2K · WR 85.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 95¢·178,790.1 shares·also $56.8K on NO
Invested
$170.3K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$8464
+$8464INV $170.3K · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 1,745
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.06M
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.68M(-87.4%)
Whales
305
X
XAE12Archangel🥇
Entry 55¢·1,510,238.4 shares
Invested
$825.4K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-825364
$-825364INV $825.4K · WR 77.3%
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥈
Entry 16¢·2,448,012.9 shares
Invested
$402.2K
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-402239
$-402239INV $402.2K · WR 62.7%
F
foodenjoyer🥉hedged
Entry 12¢·1,891,178.7 shares·also $726.8K on YES
Invested
$229.0K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-229036
$-229036INV $229.0K · WR 60.2%
J
JAHODA
Entry 67¢·305,199.3 shares
Invested
$205.3K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-205317
$-205317INV $205.3K · WR 87.4%
P
puipui2486
Entry 80¢·234,759 shares
Invested
$186.9K
Win Rate
93.2%
Position P&L
$-186915
$-186915INV $186.9K · WR 93.2%
A
alliswell
Entry 96¢·172,563.3 shares
Invested
$165.7K
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-165677
$-165677INV $165.7K · WR 86.6%
E
Erasmus.hedged
Entry 21¢·787,312.9 shares·also $564.1K on YES
Invested
$164.9K
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
$-164866
$-164866INV $164.9K · WR 70.7%
O
OrbitSugarFree
Entry 91¢·126,246.6 shares
Invested
$115.4K
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-115359
$-115359INV $115.4K · WR 84.8%
U
Upright-Snughedged
Entry 27¢·399,846.6 shares·also $563.4K on YES
Invested
$108.4K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-108403
$-108403INV $108.4K · WR 80.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 31¢·183,912.7 shares·also $170.3K on YES
Invested
$56.8K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-56833
$-56833INV $56.8K · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 305
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