Tech/AI201 active · 934 open · 5,599 all-time
Polymarket Tech & AI Markets
AI model launches, OpenAI events, Big Tech outcomes, product releases — track whale consensus on every tech and AI market open on Polymarket.
Tech and AI is one of the fastest-growing prediction-market categories — driven by AI release cadence (GPT-X, Claude, Gemini, open-source releases), Big Tech corporate events, product launches, and startup outcomes. Smart-money participants here often have direct industry context: founders, engineers, and investors who hedge or express conviction trades through Polymarket.
We aggregate every open tech/AI market: AI model release timelines and benchmark beats, OpenAI/Anthropic/Google milestone markets, Apple/Microsoft/Meta corporate events, IPO and acquisition markets, social-platform and crypto-tech crossover markets. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L.
Tech markets resolve fast (often within days of a launch) and reward proximity to source — the Recent Activity feed below highlights whale entries above $5K in the last 24 hours, where industry insiders often position ahead of news.
Top Tech/AI Markets
By volume
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
YES 16¢$275K vol
62Yvs83N
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
YES 69¢$200K vol
35Yvs33N
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YES 74¢$173K vol
142Yvs79N
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
YES 25¢$123K vol
21Yvs29N
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YES 32¢$115K vol
20Yvs24N
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
YES 89¢$81K vol
67Yvs58N
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
YES 14¢$81K vol
21Yvs33N
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YES 35¢$79K vol
31Yvs24N
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
YES 33¢$79K vol
40Yvs39N
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YES 19¢$72K vol
5Yvs21N
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
YES 16¢$66K vol
13Yvs21N
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
YES 72¢$55K vol
18Yvs27N
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
YES 14¢$53K vol
32Yvs26N
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
YES 78¢$50K vol
10Yvs53N
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YES 37¢$50K vol
8Yvs16N
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
YES 70¢$48K vol
20Yvs21N
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
YES 79¢$47K vol
23Yvs15N
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
YES 25¢$46K vol
13Yvs25N