Tech/AI212 active · 786 open · 6,350 all-time
Polymarket Tech & AI Markets
AI model launches, OpenAI events, Big Tech outcomes, product releases — track whale consensus on every tech and AI market open on Polymarket.
Tech and AI is one of the fastest-growing prediction-market categories — driven by AI release cadence (GPT-X, Claude, Gemini, open-source releases), Big Tech corporate events, product launches, and startup outcomes. Smart-money participants here often have direct industry context: founders, engineers, and investors who hedge or express conviction trades through Polymarket.
We aggregate every open tech/AI market: AI model release timelines and benchmark beats, OpenAI/Anthropic/Google milestone markets, Apple/Microsoft/Meta corporate events, IPO and acquisition markets, social-platform and crypto-tech crossover markets. Whale consensus is computed from Smart Money wallets (55%+ win rate, positive P&L, 10+ resolved markets, farmers and bots excluded).
Tech markets resolve fast (often within days of a launch) and reward proximity to source — the Recent Activity feed below highlights whale entries above $5K in the last 24 hours, where industry insiders often position ahead of news.
Top Tech/AI Markets
By volume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YES 67¢$605K vol
103Yvs100N
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
YES 48¢$548K vol
33Yvs28N
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YES 28¢$537K vol
164Yvs91N
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
YES 23¢$422K vol
7Yvs26N
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
YES 17¢$364K vol
4Yvs22N
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
YES 72¢$220K vol
30Yvs30N
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
YES 71¢$210K vol
73Yvs69N
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
YES 26¢$209K vol
30Yvs71N
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
YES 17¢$138K vol
6Yvs17N
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
YES 11¢$126K vol
17Yvs24N
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
YES 30¢$124K vol
17Yvs31N
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
YES 20¢$123K vol
8Yvs17N
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
YES 13¢$109K vol
31Yvs35N
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?
YES 89¢$91K vol
60Yvs56N
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
YES 11¢$84K vol
19Yvs14N
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YES 62¢$80K vol
5Yvs18N
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
YES 11¢$74K vol
15Yvs8N
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
YES 12¢$70K vol
13Yvs13N
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YES 14¢$68K vol
5Yvs9N