Tech/AI172 active · 630 open · 3,547 all-time
Polymarket Tech & AI Markets
AI model launches, OpenAI events, Big Tech outcomes, product releases — track whale consensus on every tech and AI market open on Polymarket.
Tech and AI is one of the fastest-growing prediction-market categories — driven by AI release cadence (GPT-X, Claude, Gemini, open-source releases), Big Tech corporate events, product launches, and startup outcomes. Smart-money participants here often have direct industry context: founders, engineers, and investors who hedge or express conviction trades through Polymarket.
We aggregate every open tech/AI market: AI model release timelines and benchmark beats, OpenAI/Anthropic/Google milestone markets, Apple/Microsoft/Meta corporate events, IPO and acquisition markets, social-platform and crypto-tech crossover markets. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L.
Tech markets resolve fast (often within days of a launch) and reward proximity to source — the Recent Activity feed below highlights whale entries above $5K in the last 24 hours, where industry insiders often position ahead of news.
Top Tech/AI Markets
By volume
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
YES 20¢$2.4M vol
33Yvs34N
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
YES 12¢$617K vol
129Yvs194N
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
YES 87¢$260K vol
101Yvs62N
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
YES 56¢$165K vol
21Yvs36N
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
YES 72¢$122K vol
56Yvs68N
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
YES 27¢$121K vol
23Yvs23N
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
YES 61¢$120K vol
21Yvs29N
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
YES 90¢$115K vol
21Yvs15N
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
YES 22¢$107K vol
24Yvs37N
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
YES 88¢$105K vol
123Yvs40N
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
YES 42¢$96K vol
16Yvs50N
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YES 59¢$85K vol
13Yvs16N
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
YES 82¢$84K vol
28Yvs13N
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
YES 69¢$63K vol
22Yvs16N
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YES 66¢$62K vol
70Yvs40N
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
YES 11¢$60K vol
11Yvs15N
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YES 10¢$56K vol
9Yvs11N
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YES 40¢$55K vol
5Yvs12N
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
YES 32¢$49K vol
13Yvs54N
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
YES 16¢$48K vol
31Yvs21N
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YES 13¢$45K vol
21Yvs36N