Tech/AI113 active · 500 open · 2,759 all-time
Polymarket Tech & AI Markets
AI model launches, OpenAI events, Big Tech outcomes, product releases — track whale consensus on every tech and AI market open on Polymarket.
Tech and AI is one of the fastest-growing prediction-market categories — driven by AI release cadence (GPT-X, Claude, Gemini, open-source releases), Big Tech corporate events, product launches, and startup outcomes. Smart-money participants here often have direct industry context: founders, engineers, and investors who hedge or express conviction trades through Polymarket.
We aggregate every open tech/AI market: AI model release timelines and benchmark beats, OpenAI/Anthropic/Google milestone markets, Apple/Microsoft/Meta corporate events, IPO and acquisition markets, social-platform and crypto-tech crossover markets. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L.
Tech markets resolve fast (often within days of a launch) and reward proximity to source — the Recent Activity feed below highlights whale entries above $5K in the last 24 hours, where industry insiders often position ahead of news.
Top Tech/AI Markets
By volume
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
YES 50¢$11.6M vol
1413Yvs1450N
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
YES 18¢$2.4M vol
47Yvs43N
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
YES 51¢$833K vol
162Yvs162N
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
YES 52¢$742K vol
114Yvs109N
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
YES 52¢$663K vol
125Yvs138N
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
YES 14¢$436K vol
196Yvs215N
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
YES 56¢$196K vol
89Yvs73N
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
YES 80¢$193K vol
135Yvs115N
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 24¢$171K vol
66Yvs78N
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
YES 27¢$165K vol
85Yvs79N
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
YES 67¢$150K vol
21Yvs35N
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
YES 22¢$142K vol
91Yvs107N
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
YES 44¢$130K vol
46Yvs56N
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
YES 60¢$124K vol
53Yvs54N
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
YES 43¢$118K vol
28Yvs28N
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
YES 27¢$112K vol
54Yvs60N
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
YES 82¢$96K vol
28Yvs29N
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
YES 14¢$90K vol
27Yvs22N
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
YES 13¢$88K vol
33Yvs30N
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
YES 13¢$80K vol
50Yvs46N