Tech/AI241 active · 834 open · 5,974 all-time
Polymarket Tech & AI Markets
AI model launches, OpenAI events, Big Tech outcomes, product releases — track whale consensus on every tech and AI market open on Polymarket.
Tech and AI is one of the fastest-growing prediction-market categories — driven by AI release cadence (GPT-X, Claude, Gemini, open-source releases), Big Tech corporate events, product launches, and startup outcomes. Smart-money participants here often have direct industry context: founders, engineers, and investors who hedge or express conviction trades through Polymarket.
We aggregate every open tech/AI market: AI model release timelines and benchmark beats, OpenAI/Anthropic/Google milestone markets, Apple/Microsoft/Meta corporate events, IPO and acquisition markets, social-platform and crypto-tech crossover markets. Whale consensus is computed from Smart Money wallets (55%+ win rate, positive P&L, 10+ resolved markets, farmers and bots excluded).
Tech markets resolve fast (often within days of a launch) and reward proximity to source — the Recent Activity feed below highlights whale entries above $5K in the last 24 hours, where industry insiders often position ahead of news.
Top Tech/AI Markets
By volume
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
YES 11¢$2.4M vol
34Yvs33N
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
YES 28¢$547K vol
149Yvs129N
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
YES 69¢$544K vol
175Yvs83N
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YES 43¢$340K vol
159Yvs96N
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YES 16¢$328K vol
34Yvs56N
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
YES 14¢$316K vol
58Yvs88N
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
YES 55¢$278K vol
27Yvs34N
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YES 42¢$276K vol
55Yvs82N
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YES 10¢$212K vol
24Yvs76N
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
YES 67¢$204K vol
33Yvs28N
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
YES 19¢$176K vol
4Yvs25N
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
YES 24¢$128K vol
8Yvs19N
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
YES 16¢$125K vol
19Yvs23N
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
YES 33¢$124K vol
19Yvs27N
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YES 48¢$123K vol
19Yvs23N
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
YES 20¢$85K vol
33Yvs41N
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
YES 10¢$83K vol
13Yvs33N
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YES 17¢$76K vol
4Yvs21N
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
YES 12¢$68K vol
11Yvs25N