Tech/AI90 days left
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$79.4K
1,981 trades
Smart Whales
86
of 563 traders · 1 on both sides
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
2 MARKETS · $249.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
42 YESvs45 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 22 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $5.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $532·NO $5.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$913
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$163(+17.9%)
Whales
42
C
Car🥇
Entry 16¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$184
+$184INV $156 · WR 65.0%
I
IbnKhaldun🥈
Entry 34¢·314 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $108 · WR 57.1%
P
Puzzled-Football🥉
Entry 67¢·136.9 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $91 · WR 80.7%
A
acuellarF
Entry 53¢·100 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $53 · WR 65.7%
I
IrthBirthhedged
Entry 37¢·92.5 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $34 · WR 57.3%
M
Mahnic
Entry 38¢·89.7 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $34 · WR 60.0%
N
Newshoundhedged
Entry 28¢·109.2 shares·also $92 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $31 · WR 57.1%
J
Jnm1234hedged
Entry 30¢·85.9 shares·also $56 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $26 · WR 67.9%
A
ag129
Entry 25¢·81.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $21 · WR 55.8%
M
mmmbop◆Proven
Entry 55¢·32 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $18 · WR 69.0%
Showing top 10 of 42
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.0K
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$566(-9.4%)
Whales
45
S
Sylvester.the.Cat🥇
Entry 89¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-465
$-465INV $1.8K · WR 70.6%
I
InterestingUser◆Proven🥈
Entry 71¢·2,316.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $1.7K · WR 63.5%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥉
Entry 81¢·766 shares
Invested
$618
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $618 · WR 90.8%
P
PavtheGreat
Entry 75¢·510 shares
Invested
$383
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $383 · WR 63.6%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 70¢·348.8 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $243 · WR 65.1%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 49¢·447.3 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $219 · WR 60.6%
B
badkidsart
Entry 48¢·307.9 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $148 · WR 62.2%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 69¢·207.6 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $142 · WR 90.5%
A
AlexWHLUX
Entry 73¢·138.9 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $101 · WR 65.4%
N
Newshoundhedged
Entry 84¢·109.2 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$92
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $92 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 45
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