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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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HomeMarketsCrypto
Crypto575 active · 1,586 open · 101,264 all-time

Polymarket Crypto Markets

Bitcoin price targets, Ethereum milestones, ETF approvals, altcoin launches — track whale consensus on every crypto prediction market open on Polymarket.

Crypto markets on Polymarket are the densest concentration of informed capital in prediction markets: market-makers, options traders, and on-chain natives who are already long or short the underlying. When that cohort takes a directional bet on a Polymarket market, it's often a hedge or a conviction trade backed by knowledge that retail headlines don't capture.

We aggregate every open crypto market: BTC and ETH price targets (year-end, milestones), ETF approvals and inflows, altcoin launches (MegaETH, MONAD, etc.), Solana and L2 ecosystem markets, stablecoin events, and exchange-related markets. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L; positions on NegRisk multi-market events are halved to avoid double-counting cross-listed bets.

Crypto markets often see the largest single-trade sizes on Polymarket — six- and seven-figure entries that move price meaningfully. The Recent Activity feed below highlights any whale entry above $5K in the last 24 hours.

Browse 575 active markets

Top Crypto Markets

By volume

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 55¢$5.0M vol
264Yvs221N

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 25¢$4.0M vol
191Yvs260N

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 12¢$2.7M vol
150Yvs258N

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 36¢$2.6M vol
142Yvs137N

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

YES 52¢$2.0M vol
124Yvs110N

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

YES 21¢$1.7M vol
78Yvs157N

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 16¢$1.5M vol
86Yvs144N

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

YES 23¢$1.5M vol
82Yvs89N

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 12¢$1.4M vol
84Yvs75N

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 15¢$1.3M vol
180Yvs117N

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

YES 47¢$1.2M vol
84Yvs99N

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

YES 74¢$1.1M vol
103Yvs105N

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

YES 67¢$1.0M vol
85Yvs118N

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 21¢$999K vol
90Yvs188N

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

YES 65¢$979K vol
395Yvs191N

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

YES 11¢$872K vol
32Yvs44N

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

YES 18¢$785K vol
74Yvs145N

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

YES 60¢$759K vol
55Yvs111N

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 72¢$759K vol
76Yvs82N

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 51¢$713K vol
60Yvs126N

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

YES 14¢$612K vol
46Yvs213N

Top Crypto Whales

Full leaderboard →
#1

coinman2

0x55be…dca3 · 3514 resolved markets

$1.5M
57.7% WR
#2

Squiggly-Menopause

0xebf7…da78 · 1244 resolved markets

$938.2K
64.2% WR
#3

stonksgoup

0x4a38…bfe8 · 964 resolved markets

$921.6K
58.2% WR
#4

Respectful-Clan

0x6e1d…d0fa · 1982 resolved markets

$918.6K
83.4% WR
#5

easyclap

0x71a7…6fcf · 2996 resolved markets

$872.6K
55.8% WR

Recent Whale Activity (last 48h)

Live feed →
BUY

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?

flawfence · 46m ago

$8K
BUY

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?

flawfence · 5h ago

$15K
BUY

Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?

Impressive-Steak · 6h ago

$5K
BUY

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?

Impressive-Steak · 9h ago

$7K
BUY

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?

Impressive-Steak · 9h ago

$7K
BUY

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?

Impressive-Steak · 22h ago

$11K
BUY

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?

Impressive-Steak · 1d ago

$7K

Frequently asked

What is whale consensus and why does it matter for crypto?

Whale consensus aggregates the YES/NO positions of smart-money traders — wallets with proven, lifetime profitability above $200K and verified non-farmer behavior. Smart whales win resolution about 67% of the time vs. 7.9% retail win rate. On every market on this page we show the count of smart whales on each side; a heavy lean (3:1 or stronger) is one of the strongest leading indicators we track.

Are these the most active crypto markets on Polymarket?

Yes — markets shown above are filtered to active (open), with non-zero volume, end date in the future, and YES price between 10¢ and 90¢ (we hide foregone-conclusion markets stuck near 0 or 1). Sorted by volume.

Can I track new whale entries in crypto in real time?

Premium subscribers get instant Telegram alerts whenever a smart whale opens a position above $10K in any market in this category. Free users can browse the live channel feed at /feed.

View 575 active Crypto markets