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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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HomeMarketsCrypto
Crypto624 active · 1,940 open · 138,129 all-time

Polymarket Crypto Markets

Bitcoin price targets, Ethereum milestones, ETF approvals, altcoin launches — track whale consensus on every crypto prediction market open on Polymarket.

Crypto markets on Polymarket are the densest concentration of informed capital in prediction markets: market-makers, options traders, and on-chain natives who are already long or short the underlying. When that cohort takes a directional bet on a Polymarket market, it's often a hedge or a conviction trade backed by knowledge that retail headlines don't capture.

We aggregate every open crypto market: BTC and ETH price targets (year-end, milestones), ETF approvals and inflows, altcoin launches (MegaETH, MONAD, etc.), Solana and L2 ecosystem markets, stablecoin events, and exchange-related markets. Whale consensus is computed from Smart Money wallets (55%+ win rate, positive P&L, 10+ resolved markets, farmers and bots excluded); positions on NegRisk multi-market events are halved to avoid double-counting cross-listed bets.

Crypto markets often see the largest single-trade sizes on Polymarket — six- and seven-figure entries that move price meaningfully. The Recent Activity feed below highlights any whale entry above $5K in the last 24 hours.

Browse 624 active markets

Top Crypto Markets

By volume

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 28¢$3.8M vol
375Yvs336N

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 57¢$2.4M vol
286Yvs139N

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 14¢$2.3M vol
361Yvs333N

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

YES 11¢$2.1M vol
226Yvs355N

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 12¢$2.0M vol
171Yvs179N

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

YES 25¢$1.7M vol
86Yvs131N

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

YES 40¢$1.5M vol
80Yvs97N

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

YES 28¢$1.5M vol
75Yvs81N

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

YES 50¢$1.5M vol
25Yvs10N

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

YES 81¢$1.4M vol
443Yvs266N

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 14¢$1.2M vol
47Yvs49N

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 20¢$1.2M vol
71Yvs151N

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

YES 15¢$1.1M vol
90Yvs162N

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 90¢$996K vol
102Yvs92N

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

YES 19¢$969K vol
114Yvs91N

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 41¢$943K vol
47Yvs48N

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 38¢$942K vol
36Yvs37N

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

YES 89¢$871K vol
69Yvs107N

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 81¢$795K vol
68Yvs108N

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

YES 59¢$759K vol
83Yvs80N

Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?

YES 12¢$717K vol
28Yvs16N

Top Crypto Whales

Full leaderboard →
#1

coinman2

0x55be…dca3 · 6294 resolved markets

$1.4M
57.1% WR
#2

Squiggly-Menopause

0xebf7…da78 · 2260 resolved markets

$939.1K
58.4% WR
#3

stonksgoup

0x4a38…bfe8 · 1453 resolved markets

$921.6K
59.1% WR
#4

HaileyWelch

0x80cd…0273 · 5365 resolved markets

$855.3K
56.3% WR
#5

easyclap

0x71a7…6fcf · 5319 resolved markets

$812.7K
55.5% WR

Recent Whale Activity (last 48h)

Live feed →
SELL

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?

Tokor · 1h ago

$9K
BUY

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?

Impressive-Steak · 1h ago

$7K
BUY

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?

Impressive-Steak · 2h ago

$7K
BUY

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 14?

Impressive-Steak · 2h ago

$5K
BUY

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?

Impressive-Steak · 3h ago

$6K
BUY

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?

Impressive-Steak · 3h ago

$5K
BUY

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16?

Impressive-Steak · 5h ago

$6K

Frequently asked

What is whale consensus and why does it matter for crypto?

Whale consensus aggregates the YES/NO positions of smart-money traders — wallets with a 55%+ market win rate, positive P&L and 10+ resolved markets, with farmers and bots filtered out. Smart whales win resolution about 67% of the time vs. 7.9% retail win rate. On every market on this page we show the count of smart whales on each side; a heavy lean (3:1 or stronger) is one of the strongest leading indicators we track.

Are these the most active crypto markets on Polymarket?

Yes — markets shown above are filtered to active (open), with non-zero volume, end date in the future, and YES price between 10¢ and 90¢ (we hide foregone-conclusion markets stuck near 0 or 1). Sorted by volume.

Can I track new whale entries in crypto in real time?

Premium subscribers get instant Telegram alerts whenever a smart whale opens a position above $10K in any market in this category. Free users can browse the live channel feed at /feed.

View 624 active Crypto markets