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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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HomeMarketsCrypto
Crypto631 active · 2,021 open · 128,220 all-time

Polymarket Crypto Markets

Bitcoin price targets, Ethereum milestones, ETF approvals, altcoin launches — track whale consensus on every crypto prediction market open on Polymarket.

Crypto markets on Polymarket are the densest concentration of informed capital in prediction markets: market-makers, options traders, and on-chain natives who are already long or short the underlying. When that cohort takes a directional bet on a Polymarket market, it's often a hedge or a conviction trade backed by knowledge that retail headlines don't capture.

We aggregate every open crypto market: BTC and ETH price targets (year-end, milestones), ETF approvals and inflows, altcoin launches (MegaETH, MONAD, etc.), Solana and L2 ecosystem markets, stablecoin events, and exchange-related markets. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L; positions on NegRisk multi-market events are halved to avoid double-counting cross-listed bets.

Crypto markets often see the largest single-trade sizes on Polymarket — six- and seven-figure entries that move price meaningfully. The Recent Activity feed below highlights any whale entry above $5K in the last 24 hours.

Browse 631 active markets

Top Crypto Markets

By volume

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 37¢$3.5M vol
410Yvs359N

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 17¢$2.3M vol
388Yvs352N

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

YES 17¢$2.1M vol
240Yvs387N

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 68¢$2.1M vol
268Yvs142N

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 11¢$2.0M vol
153Yvs200N

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 18¢$1.8M vol
182Yvs189N

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

YES 28¢$1.7M vol
85Yvs143N

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

YES 30¢$1.5M vol
80Yvs81N

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

YES 45¢$1.5M vol
82Yvs101N

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

YES 75¢$1.3M vol
444Yvs272N

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

YES 77¢$1.2M vol
84Yvs119N

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

YES 71¢$1.2M vol
91Yvs129N

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 24¢$1.1M vol
78Yvs170N

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

YES 36¢$1.1M vol
19Yvs13N

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 16¢$968K vol
52Yvs40N

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?

YES 25¢$958K vol
58Yvs68N

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

YES 17¢$951K vol
93Yvs176N

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 85¢$915K vol
119Yvs88N

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

YES 65¢$834K vol
68Yvs112N

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

YES 36¢$818K vol
122Yvs94N

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 61¢$759K vol
65Yvs116N

Top Crypto Whales

Full leaderboard →
#1

coinman2

0x55be…dca3 · 6193 resolved markets

$1.4M
56.8% WR
#2

Squiggly-Menopause

0xebf7…da78 · 1911 resolved markets

$939.1K
60.1% WR
#3

stonksgoup

0x4a38…bfe8 · 964 resolved markets

$921.6K
58.2% WR
#4

HaileyWelch

0x80cd…0273 · 5284 resolved markets

$875.3K
56.5% WR
#5

easyclap

0x71a7…6fcf · 5168 resolved markets

$846.4K
55.3% WR

Recent Whale Activity (last 48h)

Live feed →
BUY

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?

x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 · 40m ago

$7K
SELL

Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?

x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 · 4h ago

$9K
BUY

Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?

elPolloLoco · 5h ago

$9K
BUY

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?

justdance · 9h ago

$5K
BUY

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?

justdance · 9h ago

$5K
SELL

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29?

kingofcoinflips · 11h ago

$7K
BUY

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?

easyclap · 12h ago

$8K

Frequently asked

What is whale consensus and why does it matter for crypto?

Whale consensus aggregates the YES/NO positions of smart-money traders — wallets with proven, lifetime profitability above $200K and verified non-farmer behavior. Smart whales win resolution about 67% of the time vs. 7.9% retail win rate. On every market on this page we show the count of smart whales on each side; a heavy lean (3:1 or stronger) is one of the strongest leading indicators we track.

Are these the most active crypto markets on Polymarket?

Yes — markets shown above are filtered to active (open), with non-zero volume, end date in the future, and YES price between 10¢ and 90¢ (we hide foregone-conclusion markets stuck near 0 or 1). Sorted by volume.

Can I track new whale entries in crypto in real time?

Premium subscribers get instant Telegram alerts whenever a smart whale opens a position above $10K in any market in this category. Free users can browse the live channel feed at /feed.

View 631 active Crypto markets