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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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Crypto610 active · 1,586 open · 149,688 all-time

Polymarket Crypto Markets

Bitcoin price targets, Ethereum milestones, ETF approvals, altcoin launches — track whale consensus on every crypto prediction market open on Polymarket.

Crypto markets on Polymarket are the densest concentration of informed capital in prediction markets: market-makers, options traders, and on-chain natives who are already long or short the underlying. When that cohort takes a directional bet on a Polymarket market, it's often a hedge or a conviction trade backed by knowledge that retail headlines don't capture.

We aggregate every open crypto market: BTC and ETH price targets (year-end, milestones), ETF approvals and inflows, altcoin launches (MegaETH, MONAD, etc.), Solana and L2 ecosystem markets, stablecoin events, and exchange-related markets. Whale consensus is computed from Smart Money wallets (55%+ win rate, positive P&L, 10+ resolved markets, farmers and bots excluded); positions on NegRisk multi-market events are halved to avoid double-counting cross-listed bets.

Crypto markets often see the largest single-trade sizes on Polymarket — six- and seven-figure entries that move price meaningfully. The Recent Activity feed below highlights any whale entry above $5K in the last 24 hours.

Browse 610 active markets

Top Crypto Markets

By volume

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

YES 13¢$3.4M vol
110Yvs116N

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 18¢$2.9M vol
237Yvs100N

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

YES 31¢$1.8M vol
438Yvs223N

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 57¢$1.8M vol
37Yvs50N

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 19¢$1.7M vol
40Yvs46N

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

YES 28¢$1.6M vol
79Yvs97N

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

YES 69¢$1.5M vol
106Yvs184N

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 10¢$1.2M vol
70Yvs168N

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 11¢$1.2M vol
31Yvs37N

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

YES 52¢$1.1M vol
77Yvs135N

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES 88¢$1.0M vol
97Yvs68N

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

YES 55¢$944K vol
94Yvs78N

Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?

YES 25¢$931K vol
14Yvs17N

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 32¢$866K vol
24Yvs56N

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

YES 25¢$822K vol
291Yvs115N

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

YES 75¢$733K vol
67Yvs41N

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES 68¢$703K vol
20Yvs24N

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

YES 74¢$541K vol
82Yvs53N

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

YES 89¢$517K vol
66Yvs63N

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

YES 74¢$488K vol
68Yvs82N

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

YES 37¢$487K vol
63Yvs59N

Top Crypto Whales

Full leaderboard →
#1

justdance

0xcc50…4c82 · 20331 resolved markets

$2.0M
55.9% WR
#2

coinman2

0x55be…dca3 · 6430 resolved markets

$1.4M
57.2% WR
#3

BoneReader

0xd84c…07b9 · 44886 resolved markets

$996.5K
63.9% WR
#4

Squiggly-Menopause

0xebf7…da78 · 2260 resolved markets

$939.1K
58.4% WR
#5

stonksgoup

0x4a38…bfe8 · 1453 resolved markets

$921.6K
59.1% WR

Recent Whale Activity (last 48h)

Live feed →
SELL

Will Solana dip to $50 in November?

x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 · 48m ago

$8K
SELL

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?

x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 · 1h ago

$9K
SELL

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?

x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 · 3h ago

$13K
BUY

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?

Impressive-Steak · 3h ago

$6K
BUY

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 11?

Impressive-Steak · 3h ago

$7K
BUY

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?

Impressive-Steak · 6h ago

$5K
BUY

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 11?

Impressive-Steak · 6h ago

$7K

Frequently asked

What is whale consensus and why does it matter for crypto?

Whale consensus aggregates the YES/NO positions of smart-money traders — wallets with a 55%+ market win rate, positive P&L and 10+ resolved markets, with farmers and bots filtered out. On every market on this page we show the count of smart whales on each side; a heavy lean (3:1 or stronger) shows where profitable traders have put their money. It describes positioning, not a forecast.

Are these the most active crypto markets on Polymarket?

Yes — markets shown above are filtered to active (open), with non-zero volume, end date in the future, and YES price between 10¢ and 90¢ (we hide foregone-conclusion markets stuck near 0 or 1). Sorted by volume.

Can I track new whale entries in crypto in real time?

Premium subscribers get instant Telegram alerts whenever a smart whale opens a position above $10K in any market in this category. Free users can browse the live channel feed at /feed.

View 610 active Crypto markets