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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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Sports5,927 active · 106,975 open · 2,260,397 all-time

Polymarket Sports Markets

NBA, NFL, MLB, soccer, UFC — track whale consensus on every active sports market on Polymarket, with real-time on-chain positioning by professional bettors.

Sports is the highest-volume category on Polymarket — thousands of active markets every week, ranging from individual game outcomes (NBA, NFL, soccer) to season-long odds (championships, MVP races) and event props (UFC fights, golf majors). Smart money in sports overlaps heavily with regulated sportsbook sharps and professional bettors who use Polymarket for liquidity, hedging, or arbitrage.

We aggregate every open sports market and surface the side smart whales are stacking. Whale consensus is computed from Smart Money wallets (55%+ win rate, positive P&L, 10+ resolved markets, farmers and bots excluded); positions on NegRisk multi-market events are halved to avoid double-counting cross-listed bets. The Top Whales section below ranks the most consistent sports bettors on Polymarket by win rate and P&L.

Sports markets resolve quickly — most within 24 hours of game end. That makes recent activity especially valuable: the trades you see in the 24h feed below are often pre-game positioning by whales who'll be settled by tomorrow.

Browse 5,927 active markets

Top Sports Markets

By volume

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?

YES 11¢$2.2M vol
32Yvs95N

Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?

YES 11¢$2.0M vol
33Yvs119N

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

YES 24¢$2.0M vol
115Yvs73N

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

YES 13¢$1.9M vol
78Yvs97N

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

YES 14¢$1.9M vol
53Yvs95N

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

YES 19¢$1.9M vol
138Yvs48N

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?

YES 16¢$1.4M vol
69Yvs79N

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

YES 77¢$1.4M vol
116Yvs101N

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

YES 14¢$1.3M vol
55Yvs97N

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

YES 14¢$1.2M vol
90Yvs64N

Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?

YES 22¢$1.1M vol
65Yvs77N

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

YES 14¢$926K vol
71Yvs45N

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?

YES 63¢$757K vol
86Yvs91N

Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

YES 13¢$725K vol
87Yvs41N

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

YES 38¢$449K vol
50Yvs96N

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

YES 16¢$412K vol
15Yvs56N

Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

YES 23¢$358K vol
18Yvs61N

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

YES 38¢$319K vol
39Yvs35N

Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?

YES 28¢$270K vol
4Yvs38N

Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

YES 12¢$263K vol
42Yvs51N

UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)

YES 35¢$249K vol
10Yvs39N

Top Sports Whales

Full leaderboard →
#1

swisstony

0x204f…5e14 · 193770 resolved markets

$18.5M
58.2% WR
#2

DEEDDIT

0x09b4…7320 · 17 resolved markets

$7.5M
58.8% WR
#3

beachboy4

0xc2e7…be51 · 233 resolved markets

$5.8M
55.8% WR
#4

KeyTransporter

0x94f1…4c7a · 14 resolved markets

$5.7M
71.4% WR
#5

sainttroplay

0x9319…6410 · 10 resolved markets

$4.4M
100.0% WR

Recent Whale Activity (last 48h)

Live feed →
BUY

LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs

arjennnnn · 44m ago

$5K
BUY

LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 3 Winner

wangyou1288 · 1h ago

$10K
BUY

LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs

bloodmaster · 2h ago

$13K
BUY

LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 1 Winner

bloodmaster · 2h ago

$11K
BUY

LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 1 Winner

bloodmaster · 3h ago

$16K
BUY

LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here - Game 3 Winner

mpyh · 3h ago

$8K
SELL

LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here - Game 2 Winner

mpyh · 3h ago

$8K

Frequently asked

What is whale consensus and why does it matter for sports?

Whale consensus aggregates the YES/NO positions of smart-money traders — wallets with a 55%+ market win rate, positive P&L and 10+ resolved markets, with farmers and bots filtered out. On every market on this page we show the count of smart whales on each side; a heavy lean (3:1 or stronger) shows where profitable traders have put their money. It describes positioning, not a forecast.

Are these the most active sports markets on Polymarket?

Yes — markets shown above are filtered to active (open), with non-zero volume, end date in the future, and YES price between 10¢ and 90¢ (we hide foregone-conclusion markets stuck near 0 or 1). Sorted by volume.

Can I track new whale entries in sports in real time?

Premium subscribers get instant Telegram alerts whenever a smart whale opens a position above $10K in any market in this category. Free users can browse the live channel feed at /feed.

View 5,927 active Sports markets