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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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Sports8,690 active · 170,616 open · 1,781,965 all-time

Polymarket Sports Markets

NBA, NFL, MLB, soccer, UFC — track whale consensus on every active sports market on Polymarket, with real-time on-chain positioning by professional bettors.

Sports is the highest-volume category on Polymarket — thousands of active markets every week, ranging from individual game outcomes (NBA, NFL, soccer) to season-long odds (championships, MVP races) and event props (UFC fights, golf majors). Smart money in sports overlaps heavily with regulated sportsbook sharps and professional bettors who use Polymarket for liquidity, hedging, or arbitrage.

We aggregate every open sports market and surface the side smart whales are stacking. Whale consensus is computed from Smart Money wallets (55%+ win rate, positive P&L, 10+ resolved markets, farmers and bots excluded); positions on NegRisk multi-market events are halved to avoid double-counting cross-listed bets. The Top Whales section below ranks the most consistent sports bettors on Polymarket by win rate and P&L.

Sports markets resolve quickly — most within 24 hours of game end. That makes recent activity especially valuable: the trades you see in the 24h feed below are often pre-game positioning by whales who'll be settled by tomorrow.

Browse 8,690 active markets

Top Sports Markets

By volume

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES 61¢$5.7M vol
408Yvs382N

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES 30¢$4.1M vol
294Yvs275N

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

YES 21¢$3.2M vol
60Yvs97N

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

YES 44¢$1.9M vol
57Yvs115N

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

YES 12¢$1.7M vol
51Yvs92N

Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?

YES 14¢$1.5M vol
33Yvs88N

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

YES 24¢$1.5M vol
124Yvs82N

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

YES 11¢$1.3M vol
73Yvs97N

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

YES 12¢$1.2M vol
48Yvs86N

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

YES 63¢$1.2M vol
119Yvs106N

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?

YES 48¢$955K vol
37Yvs26N

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

YES 22¢$932K vol
62Yvs120N

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

YES 44¢$878K vol
42Yvs102N

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

YES 11¢$856K vol
80Yvs53N

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

YES 22¢$776K vol
46Yvs97N

Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?

YES 22¢$744K vol
59Yvs59N

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?

YES 20¢$715K vol
58Yvs52N

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

YES 14¢$676K vol
52Yvs42N

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?

YES 51¢$642K vol
83Yvs18N

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

YES 14¢$607K vol
77Yvs35N

Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez

YES 18¢$584K vol
5Yvs3N

Top Sports Whales

Full leaderboard →
#1

swisstony

0x204f…5e14 · 193733 resolved markets

$18.4M
58.2% WR
#2

DEEDDIT

0x09b4…7320 · 17 resolved markets

$7.5M
58.8% WR
#3

beachboy4

0xc2e7…be51 · 233 resolved markets

$5.8M
55.8% WR
#4

KeyTransporter

0x94f1…4c7a · 14 resolved markets

$5.7M
71.4% WR
#5

sainttroplay

0x9319…6410 · 10 resolved markets

$4.4M
100.0% WR

Recent Whale Activity (last 48h)

Live feed →
BUY

Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez

UpTheBlues · 6m ago

$8K
SELL

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C

iii252 · 10m ago

$8K
SELL

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C

iii252 · 10m ago

$8K
BUY

NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?

teIrose · 10m ago

$6K
BUY

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5

Roadto1mlesgooo · 13m ago

$10K
SELL

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

lfg100k · 18m ago

$7K
BUY

Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez

UpTheBlues · 22m ago

$8K

Frequently asked

What is whale consensus and why does it matter for sports?

Whale consensus aggregates the YES/NO positions of smart-money traders — wallets with a 55%+ market win rate, positive P&L and 10+ resolved markets, with farmers and bots filtered out. Smart whales win resolution about 67% of the time vs. 7.9% retail win rate. On every market on this page we show the count of smart whales on each side; a heavy lean (3:1 or stronger) is one of the strongest leading indicators we track.

Are these the most active sports markets on Polymarket?

Yes — markets shown above are filtered to active (open), with non-zero volume, end date in the future, and YES price between 10¢ and 90¢ (we hide foregone-conclusion markets stuck near 0 or 1). Sorted by volume.

Can I track new whale entries in sports in real time?

Premium subscribers get instant Telegram alerts whenever a smart whale opens a position above $10K in any market in this category. Free users can browse the live channel feed at /feed.

View 8,690 active Sports markets