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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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Sports4,098 active · 27,915 open · 718,407 all-time

Polymarket Sports Markets

NBA, NFL, MLB, soccer, UFC — track whale consensus on every active sports market on Polymarket, with real-time on-chain positioning by professional bettors.

Sports is the highest-volume category on Polymarket — thousands of active markets every week, ranging from individual game outcomes (NBA, NFL, soccer) to season-long odds (championships, MVP races) and event props (UFC fights, golf majors). Smart money in sports overlaps heavily with regulated sportsbook sharps and professional bettors who use Polymarket for liquidity, hedging, or arbitrage.

We aggregate every open sports market and surface the side smart whales are stacking. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L; positions on NegRisk multi-market events are halved to avoid double-counting cross-listed bets. The Top Whales section below ranks the most consistent sports bettors on Polymarket by win rate and P&L.

Sports markets resolve quickly — most within 24 hours of game end. That makes recent activity especially valuable: the trades you see in the 24h feed below are often pre-game positioning by whales who'll be settled by tomorrow.

Browse 4,098 active markets

Top Sports Markets

By volume

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

YES 10¢$5.1M vol
137Yvs179N

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

YES 74¢$3.9M vol
352Yvs238N

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES 55¢$3.2M vol
240Yvs238N

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES 21¢$1.7M vol
182Yvs192N

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

YES 28¢$1.5M vol
27Yvs53N

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

YES 56¢$1.1M vol
252Yvs259N

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

YES 85¢$1.0M vol
203Yvs141N

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

YES 13¢$898K vol
63Yvs71N

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

YES 13¢$730K vol
96Yvs135N

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

YES 51¢$711K vol
75Yvs38N

Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

YES 22¢$665K vol
58Yvs103N

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

YES 48¢$640K vol
32Yvs19N

Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?

YES 21¢$590K vol
64Yvs41N

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

YES 60¢$589K vol
7Yvs22N

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

YES 14¢$571K vol
44Yvs64N

Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

YES 11¢$568K vol
23Yvs67N

Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?

YES 17¢$566K vol
4Yvs28N

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

YES 20¢$459K vol
49Yvs76N

Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

YES 16¢$394K vol
81Yvs114N

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

YES 11¢$392K vol
33Yvs58N

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

YES 19¢$388K vol
35Yvs56N

Top Sports Whales

Full leaderboard →
#1

swisstony

0x204f…5e14 · 157695 resolved markets

$23.0M
58.4% WR
#2

DEEDDIT

0x09b4…7320 · 17 resolved markets

$8.1M
58.8% WR
#3

Substantial-Service

0x2c33…0563 · 6028 resolved markets

$7.4M
56.7% WR
#4

KeyTransporter

0x94f1…4c7a · 14 resolved markets

$5.7M
71.4% WR
#5

Inaccuratestake

0xf883…cd1f · 14 resolved markets

$4.0M
71.4% WR

Recent Whale Activity (last 48h)

Live feed →
BUY

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Substantial-Service · 7m ago

$6K
BUY

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Substantial-Service · 7m ago

$10K
SELL

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

fkedgjdgwbg · 9m ago

$6K
BUY

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

fkedgjdgwbg · 9m ago

$10K
BUY

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Substantial-Service · 19m ago

$5K
BUY

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Substantial-Service · 32m ago

$22K
BUY

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Substantial-Service · 33m ago

$7K

Frequently asked

What is whale consensus and why does it matter for sports?

Whale consensus aggregates the YES/NO positions of smart-money traders — wallets with proven, lifetime profitability above $200K and verified non-farmer behavior. Smart whales win resolution about 67% of the time vs. 7.9% retail win rate. On every market on this page we show the count of smart whales on each side; a heavy lean (3:1 or stronger) is one of the strongest leading indicators we track.

Are these the most active sports markets on Polymarket?

Yes — markets shown above are filtered to active (open), with non-zero volume, end date in the future, and YES price between 10¢ and 90¢ (we hide foregone-conclusion markets stuck near 0 or 1). Sorted by volume.

Can I track new whale entries in sports in real time?

Premium subscribers get instant Telegram alerts whenever a smart whale opens a position above $10K in any market in this category. Free users can browse the live channel feed at /feed.

View 4,098 active Sports markets