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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest — top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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Sports2,588 active · 11,289 open · 505,381 all-time

Polymarket Sports Markets

NBA, NFL, MLB, soccer, UFC — track whale consensus on every active sports market on Polymarket, with real-time on-chain positioning by professional bettors.

Sports is the highest-volume category on Polymarket — thousands of active markets every week, ranging from individual game outcomes (NBA, NFL, soccer) to season-long odds (championships, MVP races) and event props (UFC fights, golf majors). Smart money in sports overlaps heavily with regulated sportsbook sharps and professional bettors who use Polymarket for liquidity, hedging, or arbitrage.

We aggregate every open sports market and surface the side smart whales are stacking. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L; positions on NegRisk multi-market events are halved to avoid double-counting cross-listed bets. The Top Whales section below ranks the most consistent sports bettors on Polymarket by win rate and P&L.

Sports markets resolve quickly — most within 24 hours of game end. That makes recent activity especially valuable: the trades you see in the 24h feed below are often pre-game positioning by whales who'll be settled by tomorrow.

Browse 2,588 active markets

Top Sports Markets

By volume

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

YES 20¢$66.2M vol
2962Yvs884N

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

YES 12¢$65.0M vol
2491Yvs1459N

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

YES 14¢$58.6M vol
3018Yvs1024N

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

YES 13¢$50.9M vol
2767Yvs1279N

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

YES 60¢$6.8M vol
136Yvs131N

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

YES 15¢$4.7M vol
256Yvs226N

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

YES 33¢$3.9M vol
21Yvs23N

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

YES 61¢$3.5M vol
399Yvs344N

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

YES 14¢$2.2M vol
409Yvs307N

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YES 10¢$2.0M vol
82Yvs76N

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

YES 65¢$1.5M vol
456Yvs488N

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

YES 12¢$1.3M vol
121Yvs106N

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

YES 17¢$1.3M vol
68Yvs73N

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

YES 24¢$1.1M vol
55Yvs50N

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

YES 83¢$816K vol
256Yvs211N

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

YES 48¢$808K vol
15Yvs14N

Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

YES 11¢$797K vol
93Yvs100N

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

YES 50¢$787K vol
113Yvs140N

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

YES 26¢$768K vol
182Yvs126N

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

YES 43¢$753K vol
222Yvs227N

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES 32¢$752K vol
85Yvs81N

Top Sports Whales

Full leaderboard →
#1

RN1

0x2005…75ea · 119175 resolved markets

$9.9M
60.2% WR
#2

swisstony

0x204f…5e14 · 124697 resolved markets

$9.7M
92.1% WR
#3

KeyTransporter

0x94f1…4c7a · 14 resolved markets

$5.7M
71.4% WR
#4

0x2a2C53bD278c04DA9962Fcf96490E17F3DfB9Bc1-1772479215461

0x2a2c…9bc1 · 1298 resolved markets

$4.2M
55.2% WR
#5

Inaccuratestake

0xf883…cd1f · 14 resolved markets

$4.0M
71.4% WR

Recent Whale Activity (last 48h)

Live feed →
BUY

Spread: Egypt (-2.5)

swisstony · 2m ago

$6K
BUY

Spread: Egypt (-2.5)

swisstony · 2m ago

$12K
BUY

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5

swisstony · 3m ago

$5K
BUY

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

swisstony · 3m ago

$9K
BUY

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

swisstony · 5m ago

$9K
BUY

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

anon.1980.123 · 6m ago

$8K
SELL

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Kluivert9 · 7m ago

$12K

Frequently asked

What is whale consensus and why does it matter for sports?

Whale consensus aggregates the YES/NO positions of smart-money traders — wallets with proven, lifetime profitability above $200K and verified non-farmer behavior. Smart whales win resolution about 67% of the time vs. 7.9% retail win rate. On every market on this page we show the count of smart whales on each side; a heavy lean (3:1 or stronger) is one of the strongest leading indicators we track.

Are these the most active sports markets on Polymarket?

Yes — markets shown above are filtered to active (open), with non-zero volume, end date in the future, and YES price between 10¢ and 90¢ (we hide foregone-conclusion markets stuck near 0 or 1). Sorted by volume.

Can I track new whale entries in sports in real time?

Premium subscribers get instant Telegram alerts whenever a smart whale opens a position above $10K in any market in this category. Free users can browse the live channel feed at /feed.

View 2,588 active Sports markets