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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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Browse active Polymarket markets with smart money data

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MarketSmart MoneyPriceVolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
34%
493yes946no
19¢
147d left
$56.4M
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Polymarket market icon
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS824d left
51%
1672yes1598no
21¢
824d left
$15.1M
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Polymarket market icon
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
POLITICS824d left
55%
1637yes1334no
46¢
824d left
$14.9M
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Polymarket market icon
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
POLITICS59d left
65%
821yes447no
65¢
59d left
$8.0M
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Polymarket market icon
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
POLITICS59d left
56%
475yes377no
26¢
59d left
$7.9M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
56%
220yes174no
62¢
147d left
$7.1M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
GEOPOLITICS25d left
25%
121yes357no
17¢
25d left
$7.0M
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
ECONOMICS147d left
45%
353yes428no
89¢
147d left
$6.9M
Fed rate hike in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Fed rate hike in 2026?
ECONOMICS125d left
46%
199yes229no
63¢
125d left
$6.3M
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? — Polymarket market icon
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
POLITICS55d left
64%
537yes302no
64¢
55d left
$6.2M
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
59%
362yes251no
85¢
147d left
$5.5M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
POLITICS89d left
69%
861yes385no
87¢
89d left
$5.0M
US strike on Cuba by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
41%
226yes321no
26¢
147d left
$5.0M
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO149d left
55%
263yes215no
56¢
149d left
$4.9M
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO149d left
43%
189yes254no
26¢
149d left
$4.0M
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — Polymarket market icon
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
SPORTS122d left
58%
334yes238no
75¢
122d left
$3.9M
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
OTHER149d left
69%
565yes254no
25¢
149d left
$3.9M
Iran leadership change by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran leadership change by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
44%
168yes216no
14¢
147d left
$3.7M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS41d left
69%
286yes127no
50¢
41d left
$3.6M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
ECONOMICS41d left
52%
187yes171no
48¢
41d left
$3.0M
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — Polymarket market icon
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SPORTS86d left
49%
226yes231no
54¢
86d left
$3.0M
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
44%
291yes369no
83¢
147d left
$2.7M
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS512d left
24%
47yes146no
14¢
512d left
$2.6M
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO149d left
52%
140yes129no
38¢
149d left
$2.6M
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House — Polymarket market icon
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
POLITICS89d left
58%
347yes253no
46¢
89d left
$2.4M
Will GameStop acquire eBay? — Polymarket market icon
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
OTHER147d left
15%
48yes281no
14¢
147d left
$2.4M
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
POLITICS89d left
61%
321yes207no
46¢
89d left
$2.2M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
GEOPOLITICS55d left
37%
74yes128no
30¢
55d left
$1.9M
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — Polymarket market icon
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SPORTS86d left
47%
170yes195no
21¢
86d left
$1.7M
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
52%
92yes84no
27¢
147d left
$1.5M
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
CRYPTO149d left
37%
86yes148no
16¢
149d left
$1.5M
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? — Polymarket market icon
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
POLITICS148d left
56%
155yes123no
37¢
148d left
$1.2M
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS56d left
40%
74yes109no
36¢
56d left
$1.1M
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS148d left
52%
98yes89no
60¢
148d left
$1.1M
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 31?
GEOPOLITICS26d left
52%
100yes91no
82¢
26d left
$1.1M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
GEOPOLITICS26d left
55%
102yes84no
75¢
26d left
$1.1M
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
28%
74yes193no
25¢
147d left
$1.1M
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
POLITICS150d left
35%
58yes108no
28¢
150d left
$1.0M
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
GEOPOLITICS15d left
57%
148yes113no
66¢
15d left
$1.0M
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
GEOPOLITICS26d left
48%
63yes69no
18¢
26d left
$1.0M
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
CRYPTO147d left
67%
385yes189no
60¢
147d left
$968K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS2d left
34%
91yes175no
40¢
2d left
$967K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
GEOPOLITICS10d left
62%
184yes113no
86¢
10d left
$957K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS56d left
34%
33yes64no
14¢
56d left
$909K
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 14? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 14?
GEOPOLITICS9d left
46%
182yes211no
76¢
9d left
$898K
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
CRYPTO147d left
34%
76yes145no
20¢
147d left
$779K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS10d left
38%
98yes159no
63¢
10d left
$739K
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo — Polymarket market icon
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo
SPORTS7d left
50%
0yes0no
40¢
7d left
$714K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
ECONOMICS147d left
26%
39yes111no
12¢
147d left
$674K
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
ECONOMICS125d left
40%
42yes64no
48¢
125d left
$667K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — Polymarket market icon
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
SPORTS298d left
32%
23yes48no
30¢
298d left
$608K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
GEOPOLITICS26d left
32%
45yes95no
19¢
26d left
$591K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS26d left
54%
89yes75no
53¢
26d left
$562K
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kessler — Polymarket market icon
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kessler
SPORTS6d left
50%
0yes0no
37¢
6d left
$535K
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles — Polymarket market icon
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
SPORTS6d left
43%
39yes51no
16¢
6d left
$466K
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS56d left
46%
51yes59no
31¢
56d left
$460K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS56d left
45%
45yes56no
24¢
56d left
$454K
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds — Polymarket market icon
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds
SPORTS6d left
29%
2yes5no
69¢
6d left
$406K
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? — Polymarket market icon
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
POLITICS5d left
63%
135yes78no
62¢
5d left
$396K
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers — Polymarket market icon
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
SPORTS6d left
33%
9yes18no
39¢
6d left
$381K
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
ECONOMICS125d left
56%
41yes32no
60¢
125d left
$376K
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs — Polymarket market icon
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
SPORTS6d left
38%
3yes5no
65¢
6d left
$357K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS26d left
52%
83yes76no
72¢
26d left
$357K
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners — Polymarket market icon
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
SPORTS7d left
29%
2yes5no
47¢
7d left
$298K
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic — Polymarket market icon
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic
SPORTS6d left
50%
0yes0no
61¢
6d left
$287K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — Polymarket market icon
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
SPORTS298d left
40%
32yes49no
36¢
298d left
$276K
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakova — Polymarket market icon
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakova
SPORTS6d left
50%
0yes0no
77¢
6d left
$272K
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians — Polymarket market icon
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
SPORTS6d left
60%
6yes4no
84¢
6d left
$260K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS10d left
32%
54yes116no
29¢
10d left
$253K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
48%
40yes44no
17¢
147d left
$250K
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
OTHER26d left
70%
138yes58no
84¢
26d left
$247K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS87d left
52%
45yes42no
68¢
87d left
$241K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — Polymarket market icon
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
SPORTS298d left
55%
29yes24no
14¢
298d left
$230K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS147d left
38%
24yes39no
28¢
147d left
$230K
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves — Polymarket market icon
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
SPORTS6d left
33%
5yes10no
25¢
6d left
$212K
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals — Polymarket market icon
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
SPORTS6d left
40%
2yes3no
33¢
6d left
$210K
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? — Polymarket market icon
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
OTHER298d left
24%
12yes37no
45¢
298d left
$209K
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies — Polymarket market icon
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies
SPORTS7d left
40%
2yes3no
61¢
7d left
$197K
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? — Polymarket market icon
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
OTHER28d left
65%
90yes48no
71¢
28d left
$196K
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
OTHER26d left
39%
27yes42no
83¢
26d left
$188K
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? — Polymarket market icon
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
OTHER28d left
40%
40yes61no
29¢
28d left
$179K
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
SPORTS147d left
32%
35yes75no
32¢
147d left
$178K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS56d left
49%
20yes21no
83¢
56d left
$158K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
ECONOMICS27d left
67%
44yes22no
27¢
27d left
$157K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
ECONOMICS27d left
55%
18yes15no
18¢
27d left
$157K
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 — Polymarket market icon
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
SPORTS0d left
50%
0yes0no
54¢
0d left
$152K
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
CRYPTO27d left
22%
18yes63no
14¢
27d left
$146K
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
OTHER147d left
41%
41yes60no
66¢
147d left
$145K
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group — Polymarket market icon
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
SPORTS0d left
61%
17yes11no
52¢
0d left
$134K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
ECONOMICS27d left
27%
12yes33no
25¢
27d left
$131K
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
CRYPTO27d left
38%
16yes26no
52¢
27d left
$119K
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
CRYPTO27d left
69%
33yes15no
85¢
27d left
$109K
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? — Polymarket market icon
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
GEOPOLITICS11d left
57%
29yes22no
66¢
11d left
$103K
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
CRYPTO27d left
39%
15yes23no
23¢
27d left
$98K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
TECH9d left
37%
31yes52no
75¢
9d left
$98K
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
CRYPTO27d left
16%
9yes47no
13¢
27d left
$89K
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
CRYPTO27d left
74%
49yes17no
45¢
27d left
$89K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS56d left
68%
25yes12no
71¢
56d left
$84K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? — Polymarket market icon
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
ECONOMICS27d left
34%
18yes35no
61¢
27d left
$76K
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
GEOPOLITICS25d left
60%
52yes35no
85¢
25d left
$72K
Showing 100 of 9,416 matching markets

Explore Polymarket markets by category

Every active Polymarket market, indexed from the Polygon chain and grouped by category: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each market shows live volume and prices, and links to the wallets trading it, so a market view is always one click from the farmer-filtered leaderboard of who is actually positioned in it.

Questions and answers

What Polymarket markets does OrcaLayer track?

All of them — every active market is indexed from the chain within seconds, grouped by category (politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics, tech) with live volume and prices per market.

How do I explore Polymarket markets by category?

Use the category tabs on the markets page: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each category lists its active markets with volume and current prices, sortable and filterable.

How fresh is the data?

Trades stream from the Polygon chain with seconds of lag; prices refresh continuously. Nightly jobs rebuild the heavier aggregates.