Geopolitics12 days left

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

YES Price
14ยข
14% implied
NO Price
86ยข
86% implied
Volume
$1.12M
9,714 trades
Smart Whales
328
of 1,170 traders ยท 6 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

159 YESvs175 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars ยท 78 YES vs 91 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%ยท net of hedges
+111 new YES$13.4K+108 new NO$43.7K
$16.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 41 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
42 smart whales35 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$3.1K of $140.3K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $30.5KยทNO $106.7K

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)
Smart money 47% YES: US x Iran diplomatic meetingโ€ฆ