Valen9 · Polymarket wallet 0x162f…798d

Wallet snapshot

Valen9 has made 40,662 trades on Polymarket across 878 markets, $17M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (55%) and politics (17%). On 781 resolved markets the win rate is 60.9%, lifetime P&L +$227K. It holds 42 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $79K · 84¢ → 88¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $73K · 92¢ → 100¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No · $24K · 69¢ → 65¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $18K · 65¢ → 38¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · $16K · 70¢ → 85¢
• Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · $15K · 75¢ → 83¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $15K · 75¢ → 91¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $14K · 83¢ → 65¢
• Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No · $12K · 89¢ → 91¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $12K · 80¢ → 92¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$7,024 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No · +$22 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · +$2,799 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No · -$71 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$206 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No · -$1,188 · Nov 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.