Geopolitics81 days left

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$1.07M
9,901 trades
Smart Whales
266
of 1,090 traders · 1 on both sides

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

2 MARKETS · $2.88M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

105 YESvs162 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 56 YES vs 112 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$1.7K+16 new NO$61.5K
$738 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$8 of $508.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $73.0K·NO $435.6K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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