Geopolitics112 days left

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$561.5K
5,768 trades
Smart Whales
145
of 647 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

52 YESvs95 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 37 YES vs 80 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$5.6K+34 new NO$6.4K
$435 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$158 of $162.6K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $31.5K·NO $130.9K

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)
Smart money 35% YES: Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively…