Geopolitics66 days left

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$1.92M
10,706 trades
Smart Whales
261
of 1,177 traders · 1 on both sides

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

3 MARKETS · $3.67M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

99 YESvs163 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 55 YES vs 114 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$1.9K+25 new NO$22.6K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$13 of $486.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $63.9K·NO $423.0K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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