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Geopolitics17 days left

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$1.27M
4,089 trades
Smart Whales
208
of 697 traders · 3 on both sides

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

3 MARKETS · $2.97M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

74 YESvs137 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 29 YES vs 92 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$910+20 new NO$24.2K
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$100 of $408.3K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $29.3K·NO $379.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$111.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$68.3K(-61.3%)
Whales
74
R
rainbowlilies🥇
Entry 68¢·56,185.9 shares
$-35593INV $38.1K · WR 84.7%
K
Ko-san-123🥈hedged
Entry 101¢·18,374.2 shares·also $2.5K on NO
$-17799INV $18.6K · WR 82.7%
R
RememberAmalekProven🥉
Entry 8¢·196,502.3 shares
$-7365INV $16.2K · WR 64.4%
G
GayPrideProven
Entry 12¢·43,046.5 shares
$-3046INV $5.0K · WR 69.5%
B
betwickProven
Entry 9¢·32,928.6 shares
$-1482INV $3.0K · WR 59.7%
M
meagainsttheworldProven
Entry 13¢·12,080.1 shares
$-1040INV $1.6K · WR 64.9%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 8¢·10,000 shares
$-350INV $800 · WR 58.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 8¢·9,061.4 shares
$-312INV $720 · WR 57.6%
T
tjaProven
Entry 13¢·2,400 shares
$-210INV $318 · WR 74.2%
O
Optimus-Proven
Entry 22¢·1,400 shares
$-241INV $304 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 10 of 74

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively…