megaforest · Polymarket wallet 0xe172…e8e0

Wallet snapshot

megaforest has made 1,022 trades on Polymarket across 71 markets, $610K in volume. Most of it is in politics (39%) and geopolitics (38%). On 58 resolved markets the win rate is 72.4%, lifetime P&L +$8,244. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $38K · 90¢ → 96¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes · $9,733 · 72¢ → 91¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $2,235 · 80¢ → 77¢
• Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $1,067 · 55¢ → 44¢
• Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes · $91 · 3¢ → 5¢
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $58 · 2¢ → 2¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $5 · 92¢ → 91¢
• Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes · $4 · 76¢ → 79¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes · +$10 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes · +$4 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes · +$3,215 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes · +$166 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$8 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes · -$241 · Oct 4, 2026

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