PoliticsResolved
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$147.7K
2,037 trades
Smart Whales
106
of 341 traders
Smart Money Consensus
50 YESvs56 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $515YES Team
Total Invested
$85.5K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$85.0K(+99.3%)
Whales
50
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 51¢·59,234.8 shares
Invested
$30.3K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$28913
+$28913INV $30.3K · WR 77.3%
6
65765757🥈
Entry 51¢·46,773.2 shares
Invested
$23.9K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$22916
+$22916INV $23.9K · WR 78.2%
L
LulaVaiPerder🥉
Entry 50¢·46,634.2 shares
Invested
$23.4K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$23262
+$23262INV $23.4K · WR 75.2%
B
bmmmm4
Entry 50¢·4,169.1 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2085
+$2085INV $2.1K · WR 88.2%
0
0561
Entry 100¢·1,591.5 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1.6K · WR 74.1%
Z
zetbetter
Entry 88¢·999.7 shares
Invested
$875
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $875 · WR 55.1%
V
viniihedged
Entry 4¢·7,039.3 shares·also $3.9K on NO
Invested
$281
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$6759
+$6759INV $281 · WR 65.8%
W
WhateverXYZ
Entry 13¢·1,149.4 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$1000
+$1000INV $149 · WR 74.6%
D
data-sync
Entry 86¢·105.5 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $91 · WR 76.2%
B
0xbec46ec4...
Entry 88¢·96 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $85 · WR 68.7%
Showing top 10 of 50
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.4K
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-78.7%)
Whales
56
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 85¢·4,575.4 shares·also $281 on YES
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-3883
$-3883INV $3.9K · WR 65.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 10¢·8,054.2 shares
Invested
$823
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-823
$-823INV $823 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 10¢·3,927.3 shares
Invested
$383
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-383
$-383INV $383 · WR 85.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 86¢·392.7 shares
Invested
$338
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-338
$-338INV $338 · WR 55.3%
U
Umaroth
Entry 13¢·1,947.5 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $258 · WR 60.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 11¢·1,914.8 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-211
$-211INV $211 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 15¢·1,360.2 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-206
$-206INV $206 · WR 72.2%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 12¢·1,123 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $135 · WR 55.0%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 9¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $130 · WR 70.5%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 10¢·947.7 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $95 · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 56
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