data-sync · Polymarket wallet 0x21ad…10d2

+$2,606 lifetime P&L · 74.6% win rate · 59 resolved markets · 0x21adb4c97eca71d5665c8c4b5919c18730c310d2

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Wallet snapshot

data-sync has made 269 trades on Polymarket across 126 markets, $18K in volume. Most of it is in politics (34%) and economics (20%). On 59 resolved markets the win rate is 74.6%, lifetime P&L +$2,606. It holds 66 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes · $317 · 78¢ → 83¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?No · $314 · 41¢ → 44¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No · $312 · 88¢ → 92¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes · $304 · 39¢ → 40¢
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes · $303 · 45¢ → 46¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No · $302 · 73¢ → 74¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes · $290 · 87¢ → 85¢
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Yes · $287 · 89¢ → 85¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $285 · 39¢ → 37¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?Yes · $280 · 84¢ → 79¢

Latest closed positions

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes · +$37 · Nov 3, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$20 · Nov 1, 2026
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$28 · Nov 1, 2026
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No · +$11 · Nov 1, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · +$45 · Nov 1, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Yes · -$100 · Nov 1, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.