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Economics17 days left

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
84¢
84% implied
NO Price
16¢
16% implied
Volume
$8.53M
25,762 trades
Smart Whales
780
of 3,729 traders · 12 on both sides

Fed Decision in October?

7 MARKETS · $32.93M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

564 YESvs228 NO
71%29%
71% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 406 YES vs 62 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+89 new YES$44.0K+12 new NO$1.8K
$94 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
18 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$24.9K of $1.61M is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $1.52M·NO $63.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.70M
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$256.9K(+15.1%)
Whales
564
E
Erasmus.🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·293,656.5 shares·also $11.1K on NO
+$3517INV $241.7K · WR 70.7%
V
Vilgefortz🥈
Entry 79¢·301,000 shares
+$14415INV $236.9K · WR 75.3%
P
pako🥉
Entry 85¢·214,405.5 shares
$-3069INV $182.1K · WR 68.3%
R
Ronaldo2100
Entry 70¢·216,663.9 shares
+$29585INV $151.3K · WR 66.1%
M
MysticFind
Entry 70¢·128,784.7 shares
+$17180INV $90.4K · WR 90.5%
E
Elastic-Universe
Entry 52¢·118,000 shares
+$36831INV $61.7K · WR 70.0%
A
Aeglos
Entry 82¢·70,178 shares
+$1030INV $57.6K · WR 86.4%
F
faceverification
Entry 71¢·77,236.6 shares
+$9786INV $54.7K · WR 70.6%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 62¢·51,609.2 shares
+$11217INV $31.9K · WR 61.2%
N
nubet
Entry 79¢·39,999 shares
+$1602INV $31.8K · WR 62.5%
Showing top 10 of 564

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 71% YES: there be no change in Fed interest…