Economics80 days left
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
31ยข
31% implied
NO Price
69ยข
69% implied
Volume
$213.4K
2,876 trades
Smart Whales
99
of 424 traders ยท 3 on both sides
Fed Decision in December?
7 MARKETS ยท $3.29M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
44ยข+24ยข$2.17M222/105Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting+24ยข44ยข
$2.17M222/105
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1ยข+26ยข$177.5K16/43by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+26ยข1ยข
$177.5K16/43
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
2ยข+23ยข$238.6K19/58by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+23ยข2ยข
$238.6K19/58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meetingโ
31ยข+16ยข$213.4K48/55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meetingโ+16ยข31ยข
$213.4K48/55
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
68ยขโ40ยข$299.6K29/76by 25 bps after the December 2026 meetingโ40ยข68ยข
$299.6K29/76
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
47 YESvs55 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars ยท 37 YES vs 6 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%
+6 new YES$288+2 new NO$45
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$147 of $14.1K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet โ not a bet on the outcome. $200 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $12.0KยทNO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$14.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$951(-6.6%)
Whales
47
K
KimJonEn๐ฅ
Entry 35ยขยท7,782.9 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-370
$-370INV $2.7K ยท WR 74.1%
P
puravida๐ฅ
Entry 60ยขยท2,986 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-867
$-867INV $1.8K ยท WR 60.3%
S
sorcerer.00๐ฅhedged
Entry 35ยขยท4,163.1 sharesยทalso $653 on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-174
$-174INV $1.4K ยท WR 77.6%
H
HolyMoses7
Entry 16ยขยท7,721.2 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$1116
+$1116INV $1.2K ยท WR 77.5%
M
MikeMoore
Entry 35ยขยท2,891 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $1.0K ยท WR 61.6%
F
firegold
Entry 67ยขยท1,000 shares
Invested
$670
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-365
$-365INV $670 ยท WR 60.1%
D
DonationsReceiver
Entry 30ยขยท2,158.4 shares
Invested
$648
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $648 ยท WR 73.0%
N
NIKEa
Entry 30ยขยท2,000 shares
Invested
$600
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $600 ยท WR 71.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 20ยขยท2,290.3 shares
Invested
$458
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$240
+$240INV $458 ยท WR 87.7%
T
Tenebrus7
Entry 37ยขยท1,000 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $370 ยท WR 74.3%
Showing top 10 of 47
NO Team
Total Invested
$33.0K
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.8K(+32.7%)
Whales
55
H
highstakebet๐ฅ
Entry 53ยขยท11,175.9 shares
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1877
+$1877INV $5.9K ยท WR 85.8%
B
Bigggggggg๐ฅ
Entry 49ยขยท8,806.7 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1819
+$1819INV $4.3K ยท WR 85.8%
J
JustClickeverywhere๐ฅ
Entry 54ยขยท5,760.5 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$875
+$875INV $3.1K ยท WR 78.6%
D
0xd32ce89f...
Entry 49ยขยท5,668.3 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$1155
+$1155INV $2.8K ยท WR 83.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 65ยขยท2,355.8 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $1.5K ยท WR 85.8%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 52ยขยท2,954 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$525
+$525INV $1.5K ยท WR 88.2%
U
uraw
Entry 71ยขยท1,428.6 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $1.0K ยท WR 64.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 69ยขยท1,000 shares
Invested
$685
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $685 ยท WR 58.1%
S
sorcerer.00hedged
Entry 9ยขยท7,323.4 sharesยทalso $1.4K on YES
Invested
$653
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$4436
+$4436INV $653 ยท WR 77.6%
T
tinman2hedged
Entry 69ยขยท143.5 sharesยทalso $360 on YES
Invested
$99
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $99 ยท WR 66.4%
Showing top 10 of 55
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