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Economics35 days left

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$3.09M
11,403 trades
Smart Whales
233
of 1,444 traders · 6 on both sides

Fed Decision in December?

8 MARKETS · $13.20M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

110 YESvs129 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 79 YES vs 45 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges
+125 new YES$59.4K+98 new NO$141.3K
$12.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales42 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$911 of $131.1K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $108.4K·NO $21.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$130.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.5K(-6.5%)
Whales
110
M
MysticFind🥇
Entry 26¢·125,267.5 shares
$-5993INV $32.9K · WR 88.6%
M
MisTKy🥈
Entry 22¢·70,051.6 shares
$-464INV $15.5K · WR 69.8%
F
foodenjoyer🥉
Entry 24¢·47,716.1 shares
$-1122INV $11.4K · WR 61.3%
T
truthteller
Entry 20¢·34,443 shares
+$362INV $7.0K · WR 57.7%
S
SaylorMoonProven
Entry 24¢·25,000 shares
$-625INV $6.0K · WR 59.3%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 21¢·27,537.8 shares·also $17 on NO
+$143INV $5.8K · WR 72.1%
V
Vespuccii
Entry 21¢·18,072.1 shares
+$90INV $3.8K · WR 58.6%
P
puravida
Entry 22¢·16,500.3 shares
$-86INV $3.6K · WR 59.5%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 21¢·15,000 shares
+$75INV $3.1K · WR 81.9%
Q
QMG-MACRO
Entry 20¢·10,000 shares
+$150INV $2.0K · WR 91.2%
Showing top 10 of 110

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 48% YES: there be no change in Fed interest…