Economics58 days left
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$656.3K
5,636 trades
Smart Whales
151
of 673 traders · 4 on both sides
Fed Decision in December?
7 MARKETS · $11.70M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
83¢−12¢$8.64M560/226Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−12¢83¢
$8.64M560/226
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+18¢$552.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+18¢1¢
$552.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$592.3K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$592.3K23/78
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting←
23¢+23¢$656.3K70/82Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting←+23¢23¢
$656.3K70/82
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
75¢−35¢$763.2K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−35¢75¢
$763.2K65/99
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
72 YESvs83 NO
47%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 53 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%
+13 new YES$2.7K+23 new NO$8.6K
1 smart whale9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$484 of $27.5K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $24.2K·NO $2.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$31.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.9K(-18.8%)
Whales
72
T
truthteller🥇
Entry 23¢·26,997 shares
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-156
$-156INV $6.2K · WR 57.7%
K
KimJonEn🥈
Entry 30¢·19,782.9 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-1505
$-1505INV $6.0K · WR 74.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 82¢·3,788.9 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2265
$-2265INV $3.1K · WR 55.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 23¢·7,062.5 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $1.7K · WR 72.2%
D
DooBieZ
Entry 25¢·6,000 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-170
$-170INV $1.5K · WR 62.8%
4
456ythgbvcadscvbhedged
Entry 35¢·4,163.1 shares·also $653 on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-507
$-507INV $1.4K · WR 77.6%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 16¢·8,511.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$576
+$576INV $1.3K · WR 77.6%
M
MikeMoore
Entry 35¢·2,891 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-360
$-360INV $1.0K · WR 60.5%
W
whig◆Proven
Entry 27¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$815
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $815 · WR 63.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·3,724.4 shares
Invested
$745
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $745 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 72
NO Team
Total Invested
$72.8K
Avg Win Rate
82.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$28.6K(+39.3%)
Whales
83
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 50¢·48,531.6 shares
Invested
$24.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$13408
+$13408INV $24.2K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 62¢·20,789.1 shares
Invested
$12.8K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3265
+$3265INV $12.8K · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 67¢·7,279.5 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$799
+$799INV $4.8K · WR 79.2%
X
XAE12Archangel
Entry 29¢·8,403.7 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$4072
+$4072INV $2.4K · WR 77.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 69¢·3,513.6 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$311
+$311INV $2.4K · WR 79.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 37¢·3,788.9 shares·also $3.1K on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1538
+$1538INV $1.4K · WR 55.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 78¢·1,356.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $1.1K · WR 68.2%
U
uraw
Entry 71¢·1,428.6 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $1.0K · WR 65.4%
4
456ythgbvcadscvbhedged
Entry 9¢·7,323.4 shares·also $1.4K on YES
Invested
$653
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$5022
+$5022INV $653 · WR 77.6%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 77¢·602.4 shares
Invested
$464
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $464 · WR 65.9%
Showing top 10 of 83
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)