kaxel78 · Polymarket wallet 0xc1b5…5d85

Wallet snapshot

kaxel78 has made 652 trades on Polymarket across 225 markets, $27K in volume. Most of it is in politics (23%) and economics (11%). On 25 resolved markets the win rate is 80%, lifetime P&L +$9,807. It holds 36 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes · $1 · 8¢ → 0¢
• Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 0¢
• Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 0¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 0¢
• Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 0¢
• Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 0¢
• Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 0¢
• Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 0¢
• Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 0¢
• Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?No · -$365 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?No · -$371 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No · +$733 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes · +$20 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No · -$23 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Guillermo Rodriguez win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Yes · -$0 · Oct 14, 2026

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