79 days left
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?
YES Price
65¢
65% implied
NO Price
35¢
35% implied
Volume
$10.0K
434 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 140 traders
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $28.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs20 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $398 is directional: YES $304·NO $94YES Team
Total Invested
$304
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$279(+91.7%)
Whales
4
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 33¢·869.9 shares
Invested
$290
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$271
+$271INV $290 · WR 63.3%
P
Plain-Injustice🥈
Entry 66¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 63.3%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7🥉
Entry 28¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 57.5%
H
Hugin-og-Muninhedged
Entry 4¢·10 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $0 · WR 66.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$314
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$95(-30.2%)
Whales
20
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 52¢·113.2 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $59 · WR 79.4%
G
geowatch🥈
Entry 38¢·136.1 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $52 · WR 67.9%
L
lpgb🥉
Entry 65¢·43.7 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $29 · WR 76.4%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 40¢·69.8 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $28 · WR 60.4%
A
akroll
Entry 63¢·34.2 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $21 · WR 86.9%
P
pollo07
Entry 63¢·34.2 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $21 · WR 85.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·34 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $17 · WR 89.2%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 62¢·23.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $15 · WR 85.9%
K
kaxel78
Entry 63¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $13 · WR 86.9%
K
klli27
Entry 63¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $13 · WR 86.9%
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