Frequently Asked Questions

We index every Polymarket trade from the Polygon blockchain into our own database — over 945 million trades since launch. Each night a job groups trades by wallet, computes per-outcome wins and losses against closed-market resolutions, and applies NegRisk multi-outcome adjustments.

Wallets surface in the Leaderboard once they have at least 10 resolved markets, sorted by your chosen metric (P&L, win rate, ROI, volume).

A wallet is flagged as Smart Money when all three are true: market win rate is 55% or higher, total P&L is positive, and the wallet is not classified as a farmer.

Farmersare wallets that load up on near-resolved markets at above 95¢ to capture pennies — they're excluded so their inflated win rates don't pollute rankings. Bots (more than 500K trades with average trade size under $20) are detected separately and can be filtered out from any view.

No. OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that analyzes publicly available Polygon blockchain data. We don't provide financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. We aren't a bookmaker, exchange, or trading platform — we don't accept bets, hold funds, or execute trades. Past performance of any wallet doesn't guarantee future results.

See Risk Disclosure for the full statement.

Three layers, three speeds:

• Premium WebSocket feed— our relay forwards trade events sub-second from Polymarket's on-chain confirmation. (Polymarket V2 batches submissions every ~60–120 seconds for gas savings — structural settlement window inherited by all on-chain feeds.)
• On-chain indexer — Polygon blocks polled every 5 seconds. This is the source of truth used for analytics.
• ISW frontline— ArcGIS metadata is checked every 5 seconds during ISW's active publish window (13:00–19:00 UTC) and every 30 seconds otherwise. Heavy map data is downloaded only when a layer actually changes.

Premium ($19.99/mo) gives the full Pro telegram experience with 4× higher limits, plus programmatic access on the website.

In the Telegram bot you configure:

• Watched whales— up to 100 wallets (Pro: 25), each with your own “alert me only on trades above $X” threshold.
• Watched markets — up to 100 markets (Pro: 25), with the same per-list dollar threshold.
• ISW Territory alerts — up to 20 cities with your chosen minimum severity (HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW).
• Custom filters— categories, BUY/SELL side, hide extreme prices (98¢+ / 2¢-).

On the website you also get programmatic access:

• Real-time whale trade feed over WebSocket (relay from Polymarket with sub-second relay from on-chain settlement — for copy-traders and algorithms).
• Premium REST API — 1000 requests per minute, plus endpoints unavailable without a key (whale-trades by market, wallet trade history, market summary as-of timestamp).
• ISW proximity JSON API — distance to control / advances polygons per city.
• Custom webhooks for piping events to your own Discord, Slack, or internal systems.

Pro ($9.99/mo) gives the same telegram logic with 25/25 limits. Full comparison: pricing.

Polygon only. Polymarket settles every trade and resolution on Polygon's contracts, and Polymarket itself is the only market we cover today. Order matching happens off-chain via Polymarket's orderbook, which we also capture in real time through WebSocket.

Two providers. Whop handles credit and debit cards, Apple Pay, Google Pay. NOWPaymentshandles crypto — USDC, USDT, ETH, BTC, and around 50 other coins. You pick at checkout. We don't store card numbers or wallet credentials — they go directly to the provider.

Yes, anytime. Open Settings and find your active plan card — click Manage / Cancel. For card subscriptions this opens the Whop billing portal where you can cancel in one click; access continues until the end of the period you've already paid for.

Crypto subscriptions are one-shot purchases — they simply expire when the period ends, no cancellation needed. No contracts, no commitments.

We track around 900,000 Polymarket markets. A market may not appear if it was created and removed by Polymarket before being indexed, was deactivated by Polymarket post-resolution (we keep the historical trades but the market metadata can disappear), or comes from early Polymarket markets where on-chain metadata was incomplete and can't be recovered after the fact.

Wallet trade history shows everything we have, even when the market metadata is incomplete.

The Institute for the Study of War publishes a daily Ukraine territory map via ArcGIS — control, recent advances, and 24-hour gains. We track the most active Polymarket front-line markets through per-market geographies we maintain — points or zones drawn around the specific city, settlement, or area each market resolves on.

Every few seconds we ask ArcGIS only “has anything changed?” (a cheap metadata probe) and pull the heavy map data only when a layer actually moves. For each market subscription we compute the closest distance from its zone to the Russian-controlled polygon and assign a threat level: HIGH (under 500 m), MEDIUM (under 1.5 km), LOW (under 3 km), or SAFE.

Premium subscribers get a JSON API with the same data; everyone with the bot gets Telegram alerts.

Both Pro ($9.99/mo) and Premium ($19.99/mo) share the Farmer Filter, Smart Money classification, NegRisk-corrected win rates, and ISW Ukraine signals.

Pro gives the full Telegram bot experience (25 watched whales, 25 markets, 25 ISW alerts) plus full leaderboard and Smart Score on the website.

Premium adds 4× higher Telegram limits (100/100/100), real-time WebSocket trade feed, REST API at 600 req/min, ISW Premium JSON, and custom webhooks. Choose Premium if you need programmatic access for trading bots or dashboards — see /developers.