Economics334 active · 741 open · 15,943 all-time
Polymarket Economics Markets
Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, jobs reports, recession odds, GDP — track whale consensus on every macroeconomic market open on Polymarket.
Economics markets on Polymarket are where macro traders, rates desks, and forecasters concentrate. From Fed FOMC outcomes to monthly CPI/PPI/jobs prints to recession-by-year markets, this category is one of the highest information-density on the platform — many participants are professionals using Polymarket as a calibration check on their own pricing.
We aggregate every open economics market: Fed rate decisions and dot-plot outcomes, inflation prints (CPI, PPI, PCE), labor data (NFP, unemployment, JOLTS), GDP and growth markets, recession-by-date markets, and major policy events. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L.
Macro markets often pre-price data better than economist consensus surveys — Polymarket whales lean on actual money, not directional opinion. Below you'll find both top markets sorted by volume and the most consistently profitable economics whales.
Top Economics Markets
By volume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 81¢$5.4M vol
798Yvs839N
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 17¢$5.1M vol
877Yvs958N
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 80¢$3.1M vol
351Yvs240N
Fed rate hike in 2026?
YES 62¢$2.6M vol
252Yvs287N
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
YES 14¢$1.8M vol
262Yvs225N
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
YES 25¢$1.6M vol
174Yvs220N
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
YES 23¢$1.4M vol
176Yvs168N
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
YES 31¢$615K vol
65Yvs85N
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
YES 33¢$523K vol
94Yvs97N
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
YES 20¢$422K vol
63Yvs62N
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
YES 11¢$270K vol
60Yvs69N
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
YES 14¢$269K vol
54Yvs55N
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
YES 30¢$262K vol
61Yvs68N
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
YES 73¢$246K vol
59Yvs70N
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
YES 12¢$239K vol
40Yvs53N
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
YES 58¢$211K vol
81Yvs74N
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
YES 48¢$177K vol
61Yvs59N
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
YES 23¢$172K vol
59Yvs67N
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 52¢$163K vol
88Yvs70N
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 10¢$155K vol
43Yvs39N
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
YES 39¢$137K vol
59Yvs58N