Economics257 active · 696 open · 17,394 all-time
Polymarket Economics Markets
Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, jobs reports, recession odds, GDP — track whale consensus on every macroeconomic market open on Polymarket.
Economics markets on Polymarket are where macro traders, rates desks, and forecasters concentrate. From Fed FOMC outcomes to monthly CPI/PPI/jobs prints to recession-by-year markets, this category is one of the highest information-density on the platform — many participants are professionals using Polymarket as a calibration check on their own pricing.
We aggregate every open economics market: Fed rate decisions and dot-plot outcomes, inflation prints (CPI, PPI, PCE), labor data (NFP, unemployment, JOLTS), GDP and growth markets, recession-by-date markets, and major policy events. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L.
Macro markets often pre-price data better than economist consensus surveys — Polymarket whales lean on actual money, not directional opinion. Below you'll find both top markets sorted by volume and the most consistently profitable economics whales.
Top Economics Markets
By volume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 88¢$7.0M vol
353Yvs431N
Fed rate hike in 2026?
YES 63¢$6.3M vol
190Yvs237N
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 55¢$4.1M vol
346Yvs137N
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 45¢$3.5M vol
206Yvs200N
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
YES 36¢$1.4M vol
55Yvs97N
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
YES 45¢$687K vol
47Yvs71N
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
YES 12¢$675K vol
39Yvs113N
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
YES 28¢$531K vol
65Yvs108N
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
YES 15¢$427K vol
20Yvs71N
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
YES 56¢$383K vol
45Yvs32N
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
YES 13¢$299K vol
26Yvs41N
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
YES 45¢$292K vol
27Yvs40N
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
YES 57¢$290K vol
18Yvs39N
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
YES 54¢$270K vol
24Yvs44N
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
YES 33¢$223K vol
16Yvs33N
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
YES 19¢$192K vol
54Yvs35N
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
YES 70¢$183K vol
57Yvs81N
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
YES 26¢$169K vol
20Yvs45N
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
YES 11¢$169K vol
26Yvs29N
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
YES 27¢$146K vol
41Yvs55N
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
YES 21¢$141K vol
25Yvs21N