Economics227 active · 747 open · 18,883 all-time
Polymarket Economics Markets
Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, jobs reports, recession odds, GDP — track whale consensus on every macroeconomic market open on Polymarket.
Economics markets on Polymarket are where macro traders, rates desks, and forecasters concentrate. From Fed FOMC outcomes to monthly CPI/PPI/jobs prints to recession-by-year markets, this category is one of the highest information-density on the platform — many participants are professionals using Polymarket as a calibration check on their own pricing.
We aggregate every open economics market: Fed rate decisions and dot-plot outcomes, inflation prints (CPI, PPI, PCE), labor data (NFP, unemployment, JOLTS), GDP and growth markets, recession-by-date markets, and major policy events. Whale consensus is computed from smart-money wallets with $200K+ lifetime P&L.
Macro markets often pre-price data better than economist consensus surveys — Polymarket whales lean on actual money, not directional opinion. Below you'll find both top markets sorted by volume and the most consistently profitable economics whales.
Top Economics Markets
By volume
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
YES 42¢$2.4M vol
45Yvs88N
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
YES 11¢$1.4M vol
60Yvs143N
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
YES 49¢$444K vol
21Yvs86N
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YES 71¢$366K vol
36Yvs87N
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
YES 19¢$253K vol
42Yvs51N
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
YES 27¢$252K vol
57Yvs66N
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
YES 17¢$208K vol
29Yvs31N
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
YES 54¢$197K vol
66Yvs78N
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
YES 13¢$161K vol
46Yvs54N
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
YES 21¢$158K vol
21Yvs32N
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
YES 29¢$142K vol
132Yvs61N
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 44¢$117K vol
19Yvs59N
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
YES 24¢$109K vol
23Yvs26N
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 38¢$103K vol
22Yvs65N
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
YES 41¢$98K vol
81Yvs31N
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
YES 68¢$81K vol
35Yvs67N