YES Price
78¢
78% implied
NO Price
22¢
22% implied
Volume
$234.0K
4,059 trades
Smart Whales
131
of 585 traders · 2 on both sides
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
5 MARKETS · $1.32M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026
20¢+17¢$710.4K56/97Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026+17¢20¢
$710.4K56/97
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026←
78¢−45¢$234.0K44/89Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026←−45¢78¢
$234.0K44/89
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026
1¢+28¢$206.9K33/82Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026+28¢1¢
$206.9K33/82
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
44 YESvs89 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 99%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$4.8K+6 new NO$94
$120 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$53 of $21.5K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $15.4K·NO $6.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$19.9K
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.2K(+46.0%)
Whales
44
X
x26◆Proven🥇
Entry 61¢·6,500 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$835
+$835INV $3.9K · WR 77.7%
O
oral.kite5633🥈
Entry 69¢·4,547.8 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $3.1K · WR 86.2%
K
KimJonEn🥉
Entry 70¢·3,429 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$205
+$205INV $2.4K · WR 74.3%
A
AlexiosV
Entry 22¢·8,091 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$3933
+$3933INV $1.8K · WR 81.9%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 69¢·1,978.7 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$188
+$188INV $1.4K · WR 70.6%
P
podairpodhedged
Entry 38¢·3,100.4 shares·also $2.0K on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$1232
+$1232INV $1.2K · WR 59.2%
N
notssf3
Entry 22¢·4,696.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$2442
+$2442INV $1.0K · WR 61.6%
P
ponydsb
Entry 78¢·1,111 shares
Invested
$868
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $868 · WR 57.4%
L
lil.b
Entry 57¢·920.5 shares
Invested
$525
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $525 · WR 71.4%
G
Gladius7
Entry 70¢·715.9 shares
Invested
$501
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $501 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 44
NO Team
Total Invested
$43.7K
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$17.7K(-40.5%)
Whales
89
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 49¢·17,467.2 shares
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-4791
$-4791INV $8.6K · WR 77.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 45¢·12,878.3 shares
Invested
$5.8K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2962
$-2962INV $5.8K · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 41¢·5,080.6 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-958
$-958INV $2.1K · WR 72.1%
P
podairpodhedged
Entry 68¢·2,902.1 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-1326
$-1326INV $2.0K · WR 59.2%
F
forgotmydinner
Entry 73¢·1,980 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1003
$-1003INV $1.4K · WR 86.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 34¢·4,022.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-493
$-493INV $1.4K · WR 86.2%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 36¢·3,645.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
$-425
$-425INV $1.3K · WR 79.0%
T
tinman2
Entry 37¢·3,465.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-395
$-395INV $1.3K · WR 66.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 47¢·2,679 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-673
$-673INV $1.3K · WR 86.1%
C
Champions26
Entry 53¢·2,150.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-611
$-611INV $1.1K · WR 62.0%
Showing top 10 of 89
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