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Economics89 days left

Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1ยข
1% implied
NO Price
99ยข
99% implied
Volume
$59.2K
1,158 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 161 traders

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

5 MARKETS ยท $714.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

13 YESvs45 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars ยท 11 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$3+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $1.6K is directional: YES $1.3KยทNO $305
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$979(-62.8%)
Whales
13
H
HolyMoses7Proven๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 8ยขยท13,386.6 shares
$-935INV $1.1K ยท WR 77.6%
G
GingerMcKenna๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 10ยขยท1,012.8 shares
$-94INV $106 ยท WR 85.1%
L
LA17๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 1ยขยท9,280.2 shares
+$73INV $80 ยท WR 82.8%
T
Tee1000
Entry 13ยขยท150.2 shares
$-18INV $20 ยท WR 81.8%
B
BeneGesseritVoiceProven
Entry 2ยขยท1,000 shares
$-3INV $15 ยท WR 72.9%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 16ยขยท75.2 shares
$-11INV $12 ยท WR 88.5%
S
Sardonic-CueProven
Entry 1ยขยท1,091.7 shares
+$8INV $6 ยท WR 79.1%
T
Touge
Entry 1ยขยท250.5 shares
+$1INV $3 ยท WR 74.7%
K
kaladin
Entry 1ยขยท142.9 shares
+$0INV $2 ยท WR 62.9%
Q
qcp2
Entry 1ยขยท131.4 shares
+$0INV $2 ยท WR 65.2%
Showing top 10 of 13

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 22% YES: 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026