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Economics89 days left

Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1ยข
1% implied
NO Price
99ยข
99% implied
Volume
$52.0K
1,039 trades
Smart Whales
54
of 129 traders

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

5 MARKETS ยท $711.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

12 YESvs42 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars ยท 10 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%
+2 new YES$1+1 new NO$10
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $1.9K is directional: YES $1.6KยทNO $357
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-91.8%)
Whales
12
H
HolyMoses7Proven๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 9ยขยท12,238 shares
$-1062INV $1.1K ยท WR 77.6%
L
LA17๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 5ยขยท9,232.3 shares
$-409INV $469 ยท WR 82.8%
D
donthackme๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 17ยขยท1,125.2 shares
$-180INV $188 ยท WR 87.6%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 12ยขยท1,288.8 shares
$-143INV $152 ยท WR 85.1%
J
JordanMooneyProven
Entry 23ยขยท135.4 shares
$-30INV $31 ยท WR 86.1%
T
Tee1000
Entry 13ยขยท150.2 shares
$-19INV $20 ยท WR 81.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 16ยขยท75.2 shares
$-11INV $12 ยท WR 88.5%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 17ยขยท24.7 shares
$-4INV $4 ยท WR 59.5%
Q
qcp2
Entry 0ยขยท882.4 shares
+$4INV $4 ยท WR 65.2%
B
babyalgo
Entry 13ยขยท10 shares
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 76.9%
Showing top 10 of 12

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 22% YES: 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026