ponydsb · Polymarket wallet 0xe8dc…3e53

Wallet snapshot

ponydsb has made 1,240 trades on Polymarket across 215 markets, $73K in volume. Most of it is in politics (43%) and geopolitics (26%). On 24 resolved markets the win rate is 70.8%, lifetime P&L +$1,201. It holds 146 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?". Last trade: Oct 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · $2,206 · 30¢ → 74¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $2,016 · 73¢ → 72¢
• Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $1,871 · 31¢ → 73¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No · $1,476 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1,107 · 92¢ → 92¢
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · $1,071 · 93¢ → 94¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No · $1,006 · 8¢ → 7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No · $919 · 59¢ → 64¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $803 · 5¢ → 5¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No · $764 · 95¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$83 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat?Yes · +$1 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · +$9 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes · -$5 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$81 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?No · -$7 · Oct 26, 2026

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