Politics7 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$11.7K
565 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 146 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $172.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs23 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $379 is directional: YES $328·NO $51YES Team
Total Invested
$357
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$80(+22.4%)
Whales
7
A
andy29🥇
Entry 19¢·899.9 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $175 · WR 55.1%
G
GayPride◆Proven🥈
Entry 17¢·914.7 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $151 · WR 69.3%
M
Malpa🥉
Entry 71¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $28 · WR 61.7%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 4¢·30 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 81.7%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 10¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 66.8%
N
neverhackme
Entry 7¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 75.4%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 76.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$749
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$63(+8.4%)
Whales
23
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 81¢·156 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $126 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 83¢·140 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $116 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 78¢·126 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $98 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 80¢·110 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $88 · WR 87.6%
S
Spectrum◆Proven
Entry 77¢·61 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $47 · WR 60.7%
P
ponydsb
Entry 39¢·99 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $38 · WR 64.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 87¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $35 · WR 79.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 55¢·42 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $23 · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·45 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $22 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 55¢·40 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $22 · WR 89.1%
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