Politics30 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?
YES Price
29Ā¢
29% implied
NO Price
71Ā¢
71% implied
Volume
$16.0K
684 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 181 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS Ā· $150.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs28 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars Ā· 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $608 is directional: YES $607Ā·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$920
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$72(+7.8%)
Whales
12
G
GayPrideāProvenš„
Entry 26Ā¢Ā·1,504.2 shares
Invested
$384
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $384 Ā· WR 69.6%
S
SpectrumāProvenš„
Entry 64Ā¢Ā·400 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $255 Ā· WR 61.0%
G
Gmoney16š„
Entry 27Ā¢Ā·456.9 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $123 Ā· WR 75.0%
A
andy29
Entry 10Ā¢Ā·930.4 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$177
+$177INV $93 Ā· WR 55.3%
P
prov123hedged
Entry 68Ā¢Ā·64 sharesĀ·also $17 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $44 Ā· WR 61.1%
M
Malpa
Entry 67Ā¢Ā·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 Ā· WR 61.7%
E
Eatpraylove
Entry 12Ā¢Ā·21 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $3 Ā· WR 72.7%
G
Glued
Entry 14Ā¢Ā·18 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 Ā· WR 56.2%
P
phcrux1
Entry 29Ā¢Ā·3.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 Ā· WR 57.9%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 10Ā¢Ā·9.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 Ā· WR 66.9%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$837
Avg Win Rate
86.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$135(+16.1%)
Whales
28
N
nullpointaš„
Entry 78Ā¢Ā·160.1 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $125 Ā· WR 87.4%
L
Lucerysš„
Entry 48Ā¢Ā·255.2 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $124 Ā· WR 87.1%
P
plainfolderš„
Entry 63Ā¢Ā·179 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $113 Ā· WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·100.5 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $60 Ā· WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 58Ā¢Ā·100 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $58 Ā· WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 79Ā¢Ā·70.1 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $55 Ā· WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 62Ā¢Ā·80 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $49 Ā· WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 74Ā¢Ā·50.8 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $38 Ā· WR 88.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 82Ā¢Ā·40.3 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $33 Ā· WR 79.5%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 72Ā¢Ā·33 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $24 Ā· WR 84.6%
Showing top 10 of 28
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 548ms