Politics67 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$14.3K
728 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 149 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs17 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team82 traders
Total Invested
$57
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-34.2%)
Whales
8
M
Malpa🥇
Entry 75¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $22 · WR 61.4%
A
animal.bean🥈
Entry 50¢·25.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 82.3%
Q
quiddy🥉
Entry 50¢·17.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $9 · WR 76.1%
J
jq123
Entry 10¢·56.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $6 · WR 63.9%
O
orkosam
Entry 18¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 80.4%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 7¢·28.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 82.4%
B
Bikesarethebest
Entry 17¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 18¢·2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 69.5%
NO Team82 traders
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$127(+11.0%)
Whales
17
G
GayPride🥇
Entry 74¢·900.2 shares
Invested
$662
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $662 · WR 70.1%
N
nullpointa🥈
Entry 83¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $133 · WR 87.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 82¢·119 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $98 · WR 85.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 83¢·60 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $50 · WR 88.2%
M
Mysaria
Entry 81¢·44.2 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $36 · WR 89.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 82¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $33 · WR 79.5%
O
opus28
Entry 84¢·36 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 79.7%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 84¢·25 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $21 · WR 78.9%
C
cash-machine
Entry 83¢·24 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 85.0%
G
getfee-s1
Entry 84¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 55.8%
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