Politics23 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$5.9K
448 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 112 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs24 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $88 is directional: YES $88·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$96
Avg Win Rate
56.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$24(+24.7%)
Whales
5
A
andy29🥇
Entry 7¢·1,180 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $84 · WR 55.3%
G
GayPride◆Proven🥈
Entry 5¢·153.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 69.5%
P
phcrux1🥉
Entry 11¢·37.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 57.8%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 1¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 66.8%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 76.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$692
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$244(+35.2%)
Whales
24
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 92¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $147 · WR 87.5%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 94¢·124 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $117 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 54¢·190 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $103 · WR 89.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 92¢·60 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $55 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·83.6 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $42 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 92¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $37 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $30 · WR 88.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $25 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·45 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $22 · WR 85.9%
C
cash-machine
Entry 92¢·24 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $22 · WR 85.1%
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