Politics67 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$4.2K
309 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 88 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team61 traders
Total Invested
$19
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-40.1%)
Whales
4
G
GayPride🥇
Entry 5¢·153.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 70.1%
A
animal.bean🥈
Entry 50¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 82.3%
Q
quiddy🥉
Entry 50¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 76.1%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 1¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 66.9%
NO Team61 traders
Total Invested
$499
Avg Win Rate
85.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$145(+29.0%)
Whales
14
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 92¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $147 · WR 87.2%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 94¢·124 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $117 · WR 85.3%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 92¢·60 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $55 · WR 88.2%
M
Mysaria
Entry 94¢·44.2 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $42 · WR 89.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 95¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $38 · WR 89.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 92¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $37 · WR 79.5%
C
cash-machine
Entry 92¢·24 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 85.0%
G
getfee-s1
Entry 94¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 55.8%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 99¢·7.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 85.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 95¢·6.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 87.9%
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