Politics67 days left
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$5.2K
350 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 85 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs17 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team64 traders
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-74.1%)
Whales
5
A
animal.bean🥇
Entry 50¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 82.3%
B
Bikesarethebest🥈
Entry 6¢·78.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 55.9%
Q
quiddy🥉
Entry 50¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 76.1%
M
Mysaria
Entry 7¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 89.2%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 4¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.9%
NO Team64 traders
Total Invested
$741
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$157(+21.2%)
Whales
17
J
jq123🥇
Entry 82¢·290 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $236 · WR 63.9%
N
nullpointa🥈
Entry 93¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $149 · WR 87.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 94¢·69 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $65 · WR 85.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 94¢·60 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $56 · WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 96¢·55 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $53 · WR 88.9%
I
i2dt
Entry 94¢·41 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 71.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 91¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 79.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 97¢·29.9 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 78.9%
C
cash-machine
Entry 94¢·24 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $23 · WR 85.0%
G
getfee-s1
Entry 95¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 55.8%
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