Politics67 days left
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$29.6K
517 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 191 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs17 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team65 traders
Total Invested
$68
Avg Win Rate
86.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$65(-95.6%)
Whales
4
M
Mysaria🥇
Entry 113¢·44.2 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $50 · WR 89.2%
Q
quiddy🥈
Entry 50¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 76.1%
A
animal.bean🥉
Entry 50¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 82.3%
G
gajistan
Entry 11¢·18 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 71.3%
NO Team65 traders
Total Invested
$472
Avg Win Rate
85.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$114(+24.3%)
Whales
17
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 94¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $150 · WR 87.2%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 96¢·95 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $91 · WR 87.3%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 93¢·46 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $43 · WR 89.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 93¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 79.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 94¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 88.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 97¢·25 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 79.3%
C
cash-machine
Entry 94¢·24 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $23 · WR 85.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 97¢·19 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 85.3%
G
getfee-s1
Entry 95¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 55.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 89.6%
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