Politics67 days left
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.0K
239 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 64 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs15 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team57 traders
Total Invested
$61
Avg Win Rate
87.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$60(-98.8%)
Whales
7
M
Mysaria🥇
Entry 113¢·44.2 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 89.2%
A
animal.bean🥈
Entry 50¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 82.3%
Q
quiddy🥉
Entry 50¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 76.1%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 7¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 82.4%
A
aliiz
Entry 1¢·24.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 68.7%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 1¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.9%
E
Eia
Entry 1¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 62.2%
NO Team57 traders
Total Invested
$479
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$57(+11.9%)
Whales
15
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 99¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $158 · WR 87.2%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 99¢·109 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $108 · WR 85.3%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 89.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 98¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 79.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 89.4%
C
cash-machine
Entry 99¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 85.0%
I
i2dt
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 71.0%
G
getfee-s1
Entry 99¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 55.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 88.2%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 99¢·7.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 85.7%
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