Politics23 days left
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$5.0K
340 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 84 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs30 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21 is directional: YES $1·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-5.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$732
Avg Win Rate
84.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+196.0%)
Whales
30
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 99¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $158 · WR 87.5%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 99¢·109 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $108 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 63¢·110 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $70 · WR 89.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·93.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $47 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 98¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $39 · WR 79.6%
N
neverhackme
Entry 95¢·32.5 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 75.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 89.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $25 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $25 · WR 87.7%
C
cash-machine
Entry 99¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $24 · WR 85.1%
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