Politics67 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.2K
283 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 79 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team65 traders
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
80.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$22(-89.3%)
Whales
6
7
0x700974a3...🥇
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 82.4%
A
animal.bean🥈
Entry 50¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 82.3%
E
Eia🥉
Entry 1¢·188.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 62.2%
Q
quiddy
Entry 50¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 76.1%
B
BetterFish
Entry 3¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 69.4%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 1¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.9%
NO Team65 traders
Total Invested
$522
Avg Win Rate
86.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$139(+26.6%)
Whales
14
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 98¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $157 · WR 87.2%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 98¢·69 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $68 · WR 87.3%
M
Mysaria🥉
Entry 99¢·61.5 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $61 · WR 89.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·60 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $60 · WR 89.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·60 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $59 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 100¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 79.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 88.9%
C
cash-machine
Entry 99¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 85.0%
G
getfee-s1
Entry 99¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $17 · WR 55.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 85.3%
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