Politics23 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$4.9K
381 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 100 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs26 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $78 is directional: YES $78·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$78
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$38(-48.8%)
Whales
7
A
andy29🥇
Entry 7¢·821.2 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $59 · WR 55.3%
7
0x700974a3...🥈
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 81.7%
N
nufonehudis67🥉
Entry 3¢·86 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 55.4%
E
Eia
Entry 1¢·149.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1 · WR 61.7%
B
BetterFish◆Proven
Entry 3¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 70.2%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 1¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 66.8%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$681
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$261(+38.3%)
Whales
26
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 98¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $157 · WR 87.5%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 63¢·139 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $88 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 66¢·120 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $80 · WR 89.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·60 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $59 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·69.9 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $35 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $30 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 88.7%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $25 · WR 67.7%
C
cash-machine
Entry 99¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 85.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·45 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $22 · WR 85.9%
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