Politics67 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.5K
245 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 68 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs14 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team55 traders
Total Invested
$118
Avg Win Rate
90.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$117(-99.1%)
Whales
7
F
FrankOcean2028🥇
Entry 95¢·112 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $107 · WR 91.4%
A
animal.bean🥈
Entry 50¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 82.3%
7
0x700974a3...🥉
Entry 7¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 82.4%
Q
quiddy
Entry 50¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 76.1%
E
Eia
Entry 1¢·98.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 7¢·6.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.9%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 4¢·9.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.9%
NO Team55 traders
Total Invested
$552
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$269(+48.8%)
Whales
14
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 98¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $156 · WR 87.2%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 99¢·95 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $94 · WR 88.9%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 100¢·69 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $69 · WR 85.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 98¢·60 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $59 · WR 88.2%
M
Mysaria
Entry 100¢·44.2 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $44 · WR 89.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 97¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 79.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 100¢·29.9 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
—
—INV $30 · WR 79.3%
C
cash-machine
Entry 98¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 85.0%
G
getfee-s1
Entry 99¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 55.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 89.6%
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