ArmageddonRewardsBilly · Polymarket wallet 0xc8ab…6418

+$322,531 lifetime P&L · 57.5% win rate · 46,350 resolved markets · 0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418

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Wallet snapshot

ArmageddonRewardsBilly has made 1,444,661 trades on Polymarket across 49,989 markets, $360M in volume. Most of it is in politics (20%) and economics (14%). On 46,284 resolved markets the win rate is 57.5%, lifetime P&L +$323K. It holds 382 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $155K · 97¢ → 98¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $81K · 50¢ → 81¢
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No · $43K · 82¢ → 85¢
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No · $25K · 83¢ → 92¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No · $22K · 82¢ → 90¢
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No · $22K · 61¢ → 90¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $19K · 50¢ → 19¢
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes · $14K · 88¢ → 88¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $13K · 86¢ → 87¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $10K · 95¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · +$250 · Oct 31, 2026
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes · +$30 · Oct 31, 2026
Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No · +$3 · Oct 31, 2026
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?Yes · -$21 · Oct 31, 2026
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · +$125 · Oct 31, 2026
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes · +$424 · Oct 31, 2026

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