Politics23 days left
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$3.33M
41,740 trades
Smart Whales
369
of 4,604 traders · 5 on both sides
California Governor Election Winner
27 MARKETS · $41.81M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
109 YESvs265 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 113 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$1.9K+53 new NO$38.6K
$544 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$250 of $216.0K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $6 is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $517·NO $215.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$27.0K
Avg Win Rate
57.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.8K(-17.9%)
Whales
109
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·4,987.1 shares·also $226 on NO
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-4588
$-4588INV $4.8K · WR 55.3%
C
choohkz23🥈
Entry 7¢·2,041 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $133 · WR 71.1%
T
tthhkl🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·250 shares·also $125 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $125 · WR 64.3%
B
btobbes
Entry 10¢·1,052 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $100 · WR 90.0%
I
Illustrious-Jewelry
Entry 7¢·1,150 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $79 · WR 75.0%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 2¢·1,882.8 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $40 · WR 69.4%
T
Trading4Fridge
Entry 7¢·510.8 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $35 · WR 57.4%
B
BettingBoi
Entry 6¢·500 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $32 · WR 62.6%
C
0xc9f197ff...
Entry 9¢·224.8 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $21 · WR 63.1%
D
data-sync
Entry 5¢·362.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $18 · WR 76.2%
Showing top 10 of 109
NO Team
Total Invested
$365.5K
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$83.5K(+22.9%)
Whales
265
A
AngryRhino🥇
Entry 94¢·49,416.7 shares
Invested
$46.6K
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$1099
+$1099INV $46.6K · WR 66.4%
S
Seutervoinen◆Proven🥈
Entry 95¢·25,046.3 shares
Invested
$23.8K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$385
+$385INV $23.8K · WR 91.4%
D
debased◆Proven🥉
Entry 94¢·22,109 shares
Invested
$20.9K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$457
+$457INV $20.9K · WR 65.9%
S
SAPolitcsSeer
Entry 95¢·21,282.2 shares
Invested
$20.2K
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
+$319
+$319INV $20.2K · WR 92.1%
4
456ythgbvcadscvb
Entry 95¢·19,820 shares
Invested
$18.8K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$330
+$330INV $18.8K · WR 77.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 93¢·20,278.1 shares
Invested
$18.8K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$788
+$788INV $18.8K · WR 79.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 92¢·16,502.2 shares
Invested
$15.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$695
+$695INV $15.2K · WR 85.8%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 92¢·15,666.2 shares
Invested
$14.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$738
+$738INV $14.4K · WR 85.8%
B
bosshog◆Proven
Entry 94¢·12,745.2 shares
Invested
$12.0K
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$342
+$342INV $12.0K · WR 70.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 49¢·23,543.4 shares
Invested
$11.6K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$11142
+$11142INV $11.6K · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 265
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