debased · Polymarket wallet 0x24c8…23e1

Wallet snapshot

debased has made 916,838 trades on Polymarket across 4,421 markets, $195M in volume. Most of it is in politics (43%) and geopolitics (18%). On 4,313 resolved markets the win rate is 65.9%, lifetime P&L +$1.3M. It holds 93 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $281K · 50¢ → 53¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $249K · 50¢ → 47¢
• Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No · $26K · 82¢ → 96¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $21K · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $14K · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $11K · 82¢ → 77¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $10K · 91¢ → 95¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $9,934 · 10¢ → 10¢
• Plague pandemic in 2026?No · $8,661 · 95¢ → 97¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $7,474 · 88¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · +$222 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$2,025 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · +$12 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?Yes · +$284 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?No · -$248 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?No · -$215 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

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