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Politics758 days left

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$17.10M
150,505 trades
Smart Whales
2976
of 23,050 traders · 420 on both sides

Presidential Election Winner 2028

61 MARKETS · $714.90M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1712 YESvs1684 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 385 YES vs 283 NO taking a side · 404 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$7.9K+29 new NO$11.9K
$4.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 99% of the money is not a bet
$17.85M of $18.13M is held equally on both sides by 402 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $83.5K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $68.2K·NO $122.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$9.21M
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.44M(-59.0%)
Whales
1,712
E
elmcap2🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·4,950,000 shares·also $2.48M on NO
$-1492425INV $2.48M · WR 88.8%
S
S-Works🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·2,299,999 shares·also $1.15M on NO
$-693450INV $1.15M · WR 69.9%
P
Protruder🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·1,200,000 shares·also $600.0K on NO
$-361800INV $600.0K · WR 78.8%
B
BrightStarsboth sides
Entry 50¢·712,117 shares·also $356.1K on NO
$-214703INV $356.1K · WR 67.6%
T
thegreengemboth sides
Entry 50¢·696,147 shares·also $348.1K on NO
$-209888INV $348.1K · WR 87.1%
S
scoutboth sides
Entry 50¢·500,000 shares·also $250.0K on NO
$-150750INV $250.0K · WR 92.0%
T
tudor123both sides
Entry 50¢·400,000 shares·also $200.0K on NO
$-120600INV $200.0K · WR 76.5%
R
Rock.Sanboth sides
Entry 50¢·400,000 shares·also $200.0K on NO
$-120600INV $200.0K · WR 91.8%
F
foodenjoyerboth sides
Entry 50¢·400,000 shares·also $200.0K on NO
$-120600INV $200.0K · WR 60.2%
K
Kickstand7both sides
Entry 50¢·375,618.8 shares·also $187.8K on NO
$-113249INV $187.8K · WR 63.2%
Showing top 10 of 1,712

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 50% YES: JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential…