Politics778 days left

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$16.43M
148,212 trades
Smart Whales
2900
of 22,820 traders · 418 on both sides

Presidential Election Winner 2028

61 MARKETS · $707.28M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1671 YESvs1647 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 389 YES vs 287 NO taking a side · 403 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$1.0K+9 new NO$941
$225 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 99% of the money is not a bet
$18.06M of $18.45M is held equally on both sides by 401 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $137.6K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $64.7K·NO $185.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$9.33M
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.35M(-57.4%)
Whales
1,671

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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