scout · Polymarket wallet 0x2d99…4ca3

+$304,500 lifetime P&L · 91.8% win rate · 954 resolved markets · 0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3

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Wallet snapshot

scout has made 23,793 trades on Polymarket across 991 markets, $44M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and politics (19%). On 954 resolved markets the win rate is 91.8%, lifetime P&L +$305K. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $238K · 50¢ → 79¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $231K · 85¢ → 83¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $104K · 93¢ → 95¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $62K · 50¢ → 21¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $43K · 70¢ → 73¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes · $26K · 95¢ → 99¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $19K · 79¢ → 77¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No · $16K · 93¢ → 97¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes · $14K · 99¢ → 100¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes · $9,650 · 91¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes · +$426 · Oct 22, 2026
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes · +$93 · Oct 20, 2026
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?No · -$11K · Oct 16, 2026
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?No · -$2,103 · Oct 16, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$1,140 · Oct 16, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · +$70 · Oct 15, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.