Geopolitics81 days left

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$73.53M
221,704 trades
Smart Whales
1862
of 20,933 traders · 36 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

676 YESvs1222 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 258 YES vs 896 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+64 new YES$24.9K+110 new NO$248.7K
$14.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales39 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$13.8K of $4.06M is hedged across different prices by 36 wallets. True directional: YES $198.8K·NO $3.85M

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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