cocos228 · Polymarket wallet 0x8e5c…a68a

+$537,022 lifetime P&L · 68.5% win rate · 111 resolved markets · 0x8e5c0cc55cda93d6cae14becb3b738a44dcaa68a

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Wallet snapshot

cocos228 has made 5,206 trades on Polymarket across 126 markets, $4.4M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (60%) and politics (26%). On 111 resolved markets the win rate is 68.5%, lifetime P&L +$537K. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $84K · 73¢ → 85¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $43K · 64¢ → 65¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $38K · 80¢ → 95¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $25K · 33¢ → 14¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $20K · 66¢ → 89¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $16K · 65¢ → 87¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $4,314 · 92¢ → 91¢
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No · $2,733 · 66¢ → 96¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $2,375 · 56¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?No · +$218 · Oct 1, 2026
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$8,658 · Sep 21, 2026
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$21K · Jul 20, 2026
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No · -$5,419 · Jul 1, 2026
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?No · +$145 · Jul 1, 2026
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No · +$1,007 · Jul 1, 2026
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

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