GeopoliticsResolved

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
54¢
54% implied
NO Price
46¢
46% implied
Volume
$393.5K
9,400 trades
Smart Whales
190
of 1,361 traders · 4 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

87 YESvs107 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 51 YES vs 72 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$2
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $40.7K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $20.4K·NO $20.2K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Russia capture Lyman by December 31…