Polymarket wallet 0x4e83…a81f

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4e83…a81f has made 246 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (98%). On 41 resolved markets the win rate is 75.6%, lifetime P&L +$200. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?No · $556 · 63¢ → 91¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No · $542 · 76¢ → 92¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $457 · 80¢ → 82¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?No · $398 · 85¢ → 84¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No · $369 · 77¢ → 89¢
• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No · $334 · 88¢ → 94¢
• Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?No · $166 · 57¢ → 92¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $139 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No · $87 · 76¢ → 93¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes · $5 · 26¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?Yes · -$22 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?No · +$8 · Oct 1, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No · +$22 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?No · +$64 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?No · +$86 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?No · +$32 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.