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Geopolitics18 days left

Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$75.5K
291 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 158 traders

Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?

3 MARKETS · $221.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs25 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 25 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+76 new YES$10.7K+110 new NO$49.9K
$6.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 29 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales35 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $19.4K is directional: YES $4.0K·NO $15.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$371(-9.1%)
Whales
11
P
Parz1vaI🥇
Entry 17¢·12,969.1 shares
$-175INV $2.2K · WR 71.7%
C
Car🥈
Entry 19¢·2,576.2 shares
$-78INV $477 · WR 65.0%
P
peterfromfamilyguy🥉
Entry 17¢·2,352.9 shares
$-35INV $400 · WR 58.9%
W
Wilted-Burden-SurvivorProven
Entry 17¢·2,000 shares
$-30INV $340 · WR 69.4%
S
sbel
Entry 17¢·1,742.1 shares
$-26INV $296 · WR 75.8%
I
i400
Entry 17¢·1,000 shares
$-15INV $170 · WR 66.9%
O
oiboy69
Entry 15¢·861 shares
+$4INV $129 · WR 75.0%
U
UbuntuTradingProven
Entry 22¢·200 shares
$-13INV $44 · WR 65.6%
Z
ZalphaAI
Entry 17¢·73.5 shares
$-1INV $12 · WR 62.4%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 17¢·52.1 shares
$-1INV $9 · WR 55.4%
Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire…