Geopolitics19 days left
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$48.4K
229 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 117 traders
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?
3 MARKETS · $149.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs18 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+62 new YES$7.4K+85 new NO$32.2K
$5.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 29 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales26 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14.4K is directional: YES $2.1K·NO $12.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$103(-4.8%)
Whales
5
P
Parz1vaI🥇
Entry 17¢·11,004.1 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $1.9K · WR 71.7%
O
oiboy69🥈
Entry 15¢·861 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $129 · WR 75.0%
C
Car🥉
Entry 25¢·500 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $125 · WR 65.0%
M
mad4x
Entry 15¢·15 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.3%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 16¢·9.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 55.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.3K
Avg Win Rate
69.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$618(+5.0%)
Whales
18
H
Huludubu🥇
Entry 80¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$135
+$135INV $3.2K · WR 65.0%
M
MisTKy🥈
Entry 85¢·2,998 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $2.6K · WR 70.3%
V
Voland6777🥉
Entry 75¢·2,687 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$242
+$242INV $2.0K · WR 71.9%
C
Cattail◆Proven
Entry 68¢·1,520.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
+$232
+$232INV $1.0K · WR 63.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 85¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$850
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $850 · WR 57.1%
Q
Quantum777
Entry 86¢·930 shares
Invested
$800
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $800 · WR 80.9%
A
arjennnnn
Entry 79¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$790
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $790 · WR 87.0%
G
Giorgio2
Entry 78¢·500 shares
Invested
$390
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $390 · WR 74.3%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 83¢·430 shares
Invested
$357
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $357 · WR 74.3%
K
Konfucious
Entry 77¢·100 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $77 · WR 63.9%
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