Geopolitics4 days left
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$55.9K
213 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 107 traders
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?
3 MARKETS · $149.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs19 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 19 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+59 new YES$3.1K+72 new NO$41.0K
$2.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 24 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales24 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.9K is directional: YES $215·NO $11.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$215
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$120(-55.6%)
Whales
4
P
Parz1vaI🥇
Entry 6¢·2,695.1 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $162 · WR 71.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 3¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $30 · WR 57.1%
P
PaddyAlpha🥉
Entry 4¢·465 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $18 · WR 67.4%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 7¢·85.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 55.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$786(+6.7%)
Whales
19
H
Huludubu🥇
Entry 92¢·3,117.5 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $2.9K · WR 65.0%
V
Voland6777🥈
Entry 88¢·2,350 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $2.1K · WR 71.9%
A
achaacha🥉
Entry 97¢·1,800 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $1.7K · WR 74.9%
C
Cattail◆Proven
Entry 85¢·1,201 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
+$153
+$153INV $1.0K · WR 63.7%
M
march333
Entry 93¢·1,075.3 shares
Invested
$1000
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $1000 · WR 59.0%
A
arjennnnn
Entry 92¢·849.1 shares
Invested
$781
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $781 · WR 87.0%
G
Giorgio2
Entry 92¢·750 shares
Invested
$692
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $692 · WR 74.3%
Q
Quantum777
Entry 90¢·600 shares
Invested
$540
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $540 · WR 80.9%
G
gotonetry33
Entry 96¢·460.4 shares
Invested
$440
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $440 · WR 80.6%
M
Monumental-Injustice
Entry 97¢·309.3 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $300 · WR 70.4%
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