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Geopolitics50 days left

Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$45.2K
163 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 95 traders · 2 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?

3 MARKETS · $149.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs16 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+52 new YES$12.0K+64 new NO$29.4K
$12.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 21 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 48% of the money is not a bet
$7.7K of $16.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $2·NO $8.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$360(-9.4%)
Whales
2
P
Parz1vaI🥇hedged
Entry 34¢·11,410.1 shares·also $5.6K on NO
$-359INV $3.8K · WR 71.7%
5
0x54498e4c...🥈hedged
Entry 35¢·12.9 shares·also $3 on NO
$-1INV $5 · WR 55.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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