Politics23 days left
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES Price
91¢
91% implied
NO Price
9¢
9% implied
Volume
$9.18M
46,507 trades
Smart Whales
1577
of 8,647 traders · 21 on both sides
Which party will win the House in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $16.53M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1068 YESvs530 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 742 YES vs 80 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 91%· net of hedges
+42 new YES$18.1K+6 new NO$1.8K
$53 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
15 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$29.4K of $2.91M is held equally on both sides by 13 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $84.9K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $2.72M·NO $80.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.89M
Avg Win Rate
80.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$347.6K(+12.0%)
Whales
1,068
B
burrito338🥇
Entry 92¢·589,554.4 shares
Invested
$541.3K
Win Rate
93.2%
Position P&L
$-7804
$-7804INV $541.3K · WR 93.2%
S
scottilicious🥈
Entry 85¢·299,361.2 shares
Invested
$253.8K
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$17121
+$17121INV $253.8K · WR 85.4%
M
MiuMiuYan🥉
Entry 94¢·160,823.9 shares
Invested
$151.1K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-5568
$-5568INV $151.1K · WR 75.0%
W
Warlike-Horn
Entry 91¢·155,000 shares
Invested
$140.3K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $140.3K · WR 85.7%
F
Flipadelphia
Entry 90¢·95,874.3 shares
Invested
$86.3K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$479
+$479INV $86.3K · WR 56.8%
H
hideo
Entry 84¢·91,476.6 shares
Invested
$77.2K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$5578
+$5578INV $77.2K · WR 75.4%
S
SAPolitcsSeer
Entry 86¢·86,396.9 shares
Invested
$74.6K
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
+$3629
+$3629INV $74.6K · WR 92.1%
P
PolBandit
Entry 86¢·79,181.3 shares
Invested
$67.8K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3893
+$3893INV $67.8K · WR 87.7%
G
GoriIIa
Entry 88¢·72,786.2 shares
Invested
$63.9K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$1926
+$1926INV $63.9K · WR 71.8%
V
Valen9
Entry 88¢·58,351.1 shares
Invested
$51.6K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$1199
+$1199INV $51.6K · WR 61.5%
Showing top 10 of 1,068
NO Team
Total Invested
$707.0K
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$321.5K(-45.5%)
Whales
530
J
Jjjh77660🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·262,419.3 shares·also $29.3K on YES
Invested
$237.9K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-212989
$-212989INV $237.9K · WR 67.6%
Y
YoshiYamamoto🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·78,183 shares·also $39.5K on YES
Invested
$39.1K
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-31664
$-31664INV $39.1K · WR 69.1%
A
alliswell🥉
Entry 84¢·45,859.8 shares
Invested
$38.4K
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-34045
$-34045INV $38.4K · WR 86.6%
F
foodenjoyer
Entry 9¢·171,128.7 shares
Invested
$14.6K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$1621
+$1621INV $14.6K · WR 60.2%
A
AJM96
Entry 18¢·75,895 shares
Invested
$13.6K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-6433
$-6433INV $13.6K · WR 59.3%
O
Old-Outfielderboth sides
Entry 50¢·25,400 shares·also $12.7K on YES
Invested
$12.7K
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
$-10287
$-10287INV $12.7K · WR 77.0%
1
11122
Entry 17¢·75,877.6 shares
Invested
$12.6K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-5369
$-5369INV $12.6K · WR 60.6%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 18¢·67,650.9 shares
Invested
$12.5K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-6078
$-6078INV $12.5K · WR 81.6%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 10¢·104,564.4 shares
Invested
$10.6K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-661
$-661INV $10.6K · WR 65.9%
X
XAE12Archangel
Entry 14¢·51,090.9 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-2518
$-2518INV $7.4K · WR 77.3%
Showing top 10 of 530
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