rdba · Polymarket wallet 0xc4d1…8ce8

Wallet snapshot

rdba has made 8,999 trades on Polymarket across 260 markets, $36M in volume. Most of it is in politics (31%) and sports (30%). On 226 resolved markets the win rate is 75.2%, lifetime P&L +$485K. It holds 29 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House". Last trade: Aug 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $2.1M · 50¢ → 64¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo · $1.2M · 50¢ → 37¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $214K · 76¢ → 86¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $53K · 78¢ → 80¢
• Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $6,953 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $5,493 · 91¢ → 87¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $5,154 · 94¢ → 85¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $4,280 · 96¢ → 86¢
• Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $4,103 · 53¢ → 66¢
• Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $3,367 · 99¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No · +$917 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No · +$2,770 · Aug 5, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · +$62K · Aug 5, 2026
• Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes · +$376 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No · +$859 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · -$7,100 · Jun 27, 2026
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

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